Pinned
Sharing my thoughts so far here as I'm currently going through the Orbital paper:
- Would it be reasonable to assume we just have a single large orbital pool for all USD stable pairs?
- Still somewhat confused with this measure of efficiency. Maybe I missed this particular equation. In practice efficiency is usually ...
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Augur needs a revenge arc.
I want Prediction Markets owned by the public.
The problem with Polymarket and Kalshi is they aren't a native Ethereum project, and are technically wrappers around oracles that are centralized. The general crypto public doesn't really have skin in the game, so naturally everyone is going to...
Highlighting some interesting prediction markets I've favorited.
1. SpaceX lead bank. JPMC really has 1% chance here? polymarket.com/event/lead-b...
2. US GDP growth for Q1 2026. It doesn't look like anyone has any idea what is going on. polymarket.com/event/us-gdp...
I actually find it nuts when people think I'm trolling or insane on my views regarding prediction markets and their usefulness by... citing actual readings and discussions from the OGs who built cryptocurrency technology and discussed extensively why they are useful, highlighting the cost benefit analysis of people tra...
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Just use Rai.
Synthetics stablecoins are stupid. A depeg on a reflex bond however will rapidly drive interest rates.
Rai was emergency shutdown but the team is planning a re-release adding in the updated code from the @letsgethai project.
It's disturbing to see how x.com/StablesLabs depegged 94% and has had zero communication with their users so far after posting a useless form.
The account has not tweeted since and hasn't even renewed their bluecheck, I had their lead BDs telegram handle which is now unavailable and their CEO x.com/goXmoonman has also
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When people say they hate prediction markets, I'm going to show them this Google commercial where the parents lost the kids stuffed animal, and they're literally using Gemini to lie to their child, saying the toy is "on vacation".
Theres a very subtle thing where we are basically normalizing lying to people using AI, ...
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