Pinned
Sharing my thoughts so far here as I'm currently going through the Orbital paper:
- Would it be reasonable to assume we just have a single large orbital pool for all USD stable pairs?
- Still somewhat confused with this measure of efficiency. Maybe I missed this particular equation. In practice efficiency is usually ...
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This guy hates crypto but breaks down exactly why, using the exact same arguments bitcoin monetarists use.
China wants USD.
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Just to unpack this, there is about 10 years of society level impacts of prediction markets in this 30 minute chat. It highlights:
- How we now have a way to signal insider information on a global financial infrastructure.
- Businesses and Governments are now using polymarket as signal and hiring his team exclusively ...
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I love it when I see math papers floating around the internet when laypeople think it's amazing, but people who understand the Axiom of Choice know this paper is actually a joke.
www.ams.org/journals/not...?
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I remember writing a lot about Augur and prediction markets when it was around. Back then you wouldn't have the chance to see defi products in Bloomberg articles. Now it's a regular Wednesday discussion.
What's interesting is people new to the space keep referring to prediction markets as "truth engines".
This is fal...
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Railway is not "down". Google suspended their account.
This is why people in the crypto space care about decentralized global compute btw. We need to focus less on tokens, and more about rubust applications and businesses where you don't wake up one morning and Big Tech nukes you from orbit.
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You can just get famous for knowing how to apply graph algorithms to data.
cc @geoffgolberg
60 Minutes
@60Minutes
5d
“We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively,$2.4 million betting almost exclusively on U.S. military operations,” says Nicolas Vaiman, co-founder of the small data analytics firm Bubblemaps.
“And now here's the crazy part: 98% win rate.” https://t.co/YQmRSn30UW
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