@monteluna
Levine is right here. This is kind of goofy.
At the simplest level, me and you can agree to a fun contract:
- If I sell my house above $X price for $Y, I will give you $Y-X.
- For the right to do this, you have to pay me a monthly premium.
On paper this sounds great because I am generally unlocking my equity in the home, and you get exposure to the home. This actually would be a great product!
Except:
What if I had a puppy party right before closing and let them poop all over the living room floor, guaranteeing the price stays below $X?
The Problem:
Options make sense for liquid, fungible things, and especially when neither the buyer or the seller of the option has a low effect on determining the price. This is fundamentally a "Principal Agent" issue.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-01-06/predict-your-house-price?cmpid=BBD010626_MONEYSTUFF&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=260106&utm_campaign=moneystuff