a few interesting trends we’re seeing in abs challenges by batters in the first 7 games if spring training (threading this to keep graphics cleaner)
- batters have the best overturn rates with the bases loaded
- batters also have the best overturn rates in 3 ball and full count counts
these scenarios are the highe...
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hey @bracky is there a way you could create a weekly or monthly prediction market on how many abs challenges there are mlb during the regular season?
seems like a few fun ones would be:
- weekly or monthly total abs challenges
- weekly or monthly abs challenge win rate (win rate = successful challenge)
- weekly or...
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rōki’s fork ball dropped 41 inches (~3.41 ft)
for some context on the 402 rpm:
- the average knuckleball is between 0-150 rpm
- matt waldron’s 70+ mph knuckleball is between 250-400 rpm
basically throwing a fork knuckleball at 86-89 mph
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looks like fielders (catchers) are currently better at challenging calls than batters
Tangotiger 🍁
@tangotiger
3d
ABS Challenge report so far:
- Fielders challenging 152 to 84 for batters (or only 36% challenges are by batters)
- Fielders got 84-152 overturned (55%), earning 0.18 runs per overturn, 0.10 per challenge
- Batters 41-84 (49%), earning 0.21 runs per overturn, 0.10 per challenge
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the abs challenge adds a whole new layer of strategy to the game—when do you burn a challenge?
the nba challenge system feels like the closest comp with many coaches saving a challenge towards the end of the game.
the main difference is that, in baseball, we can attribute expected run value across every situation t...
Tangotiger 🍁
@tangotiger
8d
ABS Challenge Breakeven Chart
Make this your screen saver or background for your phone or computer
For any combo of bases, outs, strikes, balls, this shows how certain player has to be in order to challenge
As you can see, bases loaded 3-2 count should be heavily challenged https://t.co/4lZjvhoGQk
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best part about spring training is seeing lesser known prospects show case their stuff.
lagrange is making noise in some prospect circles as a potential impact arm for the yankees this year.
that 101.8 mph fastball up high followed by his slider at 83.2 mph from the same plane is filthy.
you can see he’s got frin...
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