andddd the data backs the superstition the brewers were one of the best team against fastballs. and were a full 1.7 runs above average against them in the world series alone some might argue correlation ≠ causation but…obviously this is a smoke em if you got em situation

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not a fan of smoking but what an all time great line—if they smoke heaters in the cage, they’ll smoke heaters in the game https://x.com/jessica_whitney/status/2115963708753207709?a=4Ogy2G2mwL9wSQio4AY&s=46

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so happy for pat murphy and the brewers

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i love seeing the brewers on the biggest stage and shining this entire roster is built through scouting, player development, and analytics murphy built a hard working culture that grinds out at bats, runs the bases aggressively, and plays great defense to think the brewers were written off in the off-season after trading their ace, freddy peralta, and caleb durbin, who finished 3rd in rookie of the year voting

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Having more fun watching the World Series than I’ve had watching baseball in a long time.

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sound on https://x.com/carterjlowe/status/2113450331791319453?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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here’s something interesting—the rays and brewers out slugged/homered their opponents this also held true in the division series. while both teams ranked in the bottom for homers, they’ve found power when it matters in the regular season, teams don’t need to out slug opponents to win. but in the playoffs, teams still need to out slug opponents to win https://x.com/michaelab_22/status/2112379526177026429?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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i might argue that a salary cap + floor would hurt parity for baseball a floor would force some teams that invest heavily in scouting/analytics to potentially reduce this investment to offset the additional player costs parity currently exists because small market teams can level the playing field by investing in analytics and scouting https://x.com/kyleaglaser/status/2112324668678107254?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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Let’s go Brewers! They dominated the Dodgers, love to see it. 🧹 https://x.com/mlb/status/2110930684244029730?s=46

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this bauers at-bat is the brewers hitting philosophy and why they’re so great - deep count battle that puts the pressure on the pitcher to make his best pitch every pitch - timely power from disciplined hitters that punish mistakes during the regular season, the brewers saw the second most pitches the perfect foil to the dodgers who need their starters to go deep and minimize exposure of their bullpen to stay effect https://x.com/mlb/status/2110557193355571473?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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this years playoffs is highlighting a change in philosophy likely sparked by the jays hitting approach last year the smaller market, analytically driven teams have adapted and optimized the jays approach further it’s a new brand of small ball that adjusts to the premium bigger market teams spend on power more contact. more speed. more aggression on the base pathes. more chaos the smartest teams adapt. they take analytically driven risks. and make baseball more exciting for it a salary cap doesn’t solve parity.

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why teams have shifted to contact + small ball—putting pressure on the defense ramirez tries to steal 3rd with 2 outs and draws caminero (3rd base) out of position to cover the bag adell is a heavy pull hitter and caminero shouldn’t cover 3rd with 2 outs. ramirez at 2nd vs 3rd is inconsequential ramirez running forces caminero into a decision point which opens the pull side for adell and results in blowing the game open (2 runs score here) there’s a big downside here if ramirez gets caught and ends the inning trying to steal 3rd but he can see the pitchers grip and feels like this tips the odds in his favor this is the risk/reward that small ball teams play by forcing the defense to make decisions. something that teams like the dodgers who are built mainly for power can’t do https://x.com/justbb_media/status/2110119708322398354?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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the data to confirm this feeling - rays, brewers, guardians all top 10 in steals and bottom 10 in homers - dodgers top 10 in homers and bottom 10 in steals from 2020-2024, teams who out homered their opponents were 95-19 in the playoffs gonna be real interesting to see if the dodgers bats can heat up or if we’ll see a small market, small ball world series

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something really interesting about this years playoffs is the return of small ball, defense, and baserunning the brewers, rays, and guardian all play a style of ball that emphasizes these the dodgers play a brand of ball that relies on homers over the past decade or two, power was the deciding factor. teams that out homered their opponent were more likely to win a series this year looks and feels different. if the dodgers can’t turn the tables with timely homers, this may spark a change in how teams build and sign free agents

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