MLB
Discussion about Major League Baseball
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@brixbounty
https://open.spotify.com/track/6JZQCWzX4MPfL7b2VT5F4D?si=2DQySGkURHabFDaf3DH7JA
Dodgers sticking to the game plan.
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@kagami
probably one of the best pitches ever. everyone knew it was coming. and they still missed the majority of the time
https://x.com/pitchingninja/status/2011416578093379685?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
i didn’t have this on my baseball bingo card. it feels like kershaw’s arm is hanging on by a literal thread.
not sure he’ll end up pitching any meaningful innings or if he’s just there as a veteran presence
https://x.com/mlb/status/2011823579369783593?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
a great player perspective on the royals moving fences in 10 feet
baseball is one of the only sports that lets teams decide dimensions of their parks freely.
https://x.com/vpasquantino/status/2011154638456926506?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
one of the more interesting storylines this off-season—alex bregman signs a 5 year $175m contract with the cubs
a few interesting pieces to this:
1. deferred money
while this isn’t a new concept, it’s become more prevalent across large contracts (see: shohei ohtani). bregman’s deal includes about $75m in deferred money and reportedly brings down the average annual value (aav) to ~$30-31m
2. the red sox
resigning bregman was the top priority for the red sox but they ended up losing him because they offered him $10m less, wanted to spread out deferred money over a decade, and refused to include a no trade clause
the red sox have a policy about not including no trade clauses in contracts, but bregman reportedly valued this due to his young family, spending the last 3 years on 3 different teams, and after seeing how the red soxs trade devers a year into a 10 year extension
3. red sox unwillingness to spend
the red sox have always operated like a mid-market team despite top revenues. in 2024, the red sox had the 4th highest revenue and the 7th highest payroll in 2025
while the 7th highest payroll sounds like the red sox are spending, it’s about $35m less than the blue jays (5th highest payroll)
by trading devers, the red sox effectively cleared $30m+ off their books for the foreseeable future. despite this, they were outbid by the cubs
https://x.com/joonlee/status/2010204862282379347?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
ben rice has some of the best advanced stats and suffered from the best fielding in 2025
he definitely broke out this year, but it looks like there may be more to come
im not a fantasy person anymore, but a guy who can play c with this type of production in a deeper league is probably great value
https://x.com/thewarmonger_/status/2009694393100591463?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
more context on david price’s 2015 season vs tarik skubal’s 2025 season
by era / xera / fip / xfip
- price: 2.45 / 3.19 / 2.78 / 3.24
- skubal: 2.21 / 2.72 / 2.45 / 2.66
by ip / k/9 / bb/9 / whip
- price: 220.1 / 9.19 / 1.92 / 1.08
- skubal: 195.1 / 11.10 / 1.52 / 0.89
in 2025, skubal won the cy young (second in a row), had a 32.2% k-rate that led the mlb, and generated 6.6 fwar which lead the mlb
in 2015, price placed 2nd in the cy young race in the al, had a 25.3% k-rate which was 13th in mlb, and generated 6.7 fwar which was 3rd in mlb
by most metrics, skubal had a far better season compared to price’s 2015 season
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@kagami
baseball’s arbitration system is fascinating. the team and player each file salary numbers before heading to an arbitration hearing.
before the hearing, the team and player may negotiate and reach an agreement.
in an arbitration hearing, a panel of 3 will listen to arguments and decide to side with the player or team. there’s no middle ground.
skubal filed for a record breaking $32m salary. vlad jr currently holds the record for winning arbitration for $19.9m in 2024. ohtani settled with the angels for $30m in 2023 and soto settled with the yankees for $31m in 2024.
for pitchers, david price set the arbitration record in 2015 for $19.75m.
if the tigers and skubal don’t settle and head to arbitration, this probably spells the end of skubals time in detroit.
if the tigers win, $19m for skubal is an extremely good price and makes him a great trade asset. if skubal wins, he will be traded since his $32m salary will be ~20% of the tigers team salary
https://x.com/jeffpassan/status/2009443480263872519?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
this is a pretty interesting thread from the a’s brent rooker in response to a sports writer saying baseball needs a free agent deadline.
fans expect instant gratification and more “action” to speculate on teams earlier and earlier in the off-season.
a free agent deadline would likely help fans, but significantly decreases player leverage which is already pretty small.
one of the few levers players have is to wait out the market as teams lose out on other free agents, suffer injuries, or get more desperate to make an impact move.
https://x.com/brent_rooker25/status/2009088610172350610?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
yes, bonds took steroids. but steroids doesn’t give you a lighting quick bat, sweet swing, and ability to barrel a baseball.
https://x.com/mlbelites_/status/2008958815807422757?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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