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kagami

@kagami

345 Following
704 Followers
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kagami
@kagami
seriously. less halloween nascar vibes.
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kagami
@kagami
anthropologie x wild co x mlb is a pretty interesting venture into women’s fandom sports apparel there’s some super cute hats (especially the ice cream sprinkles) and really cool cardigans not sure if ive mostly missed other women’s brands partnering with mlb or if this is a new push. hoping to see more
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@kagami
holy shit. that’s a bit of a bummer. seems like scalpers have entered the market. if im paying $350 a pop, i better be going to a playoff game at least.
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@kagami
how much are tickets normally? i also just peeped the bananas site and saw they have a cruise. that’s just wild to me.
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@kagami
savanah bananas will be responsible for a whole new baseball fandom. retired mlb players + acrobatics + impromptu all american rejects concert? what’s not to love https://x.com/thesavbananas/status/1941683348046279092?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
yeah but…we stayed for the community that’s gonna pamp our bags…right??
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@kagami
another interesting theme in free agency: the emphasis on size feels like there’s a renewed emphasis on two big lineups where one can stretch the floor and the other is more defense/rim protection. holmgren/hartenstein, sengun/adams, reid/gobert were early pairings that saw lots of success. this free agency, it seems like there’s more teams that want 2-3 bigs on their rosters. the spurs grabbed kornet, the bucks went big with turner, the rockets tripled down with capela. is this the new standard and are small ball lineups a thing of the past now?
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would be really cool to see how the data room for mlb around all this.
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@kagami
also pretty cool that specific pitches that he threw were flagged as suspicious based on bets made in certain cities
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@kagami
what’s wild is that clarke almost caught two of the 4 he missed. one play, he ran into the wall and the wall jarred the ball loose. another he was a few inches away from catching a low line drive. imaging his oaa if he made those two catches. https://x.com/shauncore/status/1940477717776159062?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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@kagami
hmmm...it looks like judge's hard hit rate is sourced from 2024. his current hard hit rate is 55.7, 2.5 points off his career average of 58.2. per statcast data, most of his advanced metrics suggest that he's inline with his 2024 numbers. though i find his dip in hard hit rate (55.7 this year vs 61 last year) and 2.7% drop in walk rate from 2024 a bit concerning. this makes me think judge is more likely to regress closer to his 2024 numbers. if judge were to regress towards his 2024 numbers, how would raleigh fair in this years mvp race (assuming raleigh also sees some minor regression)?
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@kagami
where are you sourcing your data on current stats? raleigh currently has a .641 slg with a 5.6% increase in his hard-hit rate compared to his career average. his walk rate is also currently sitting at 14.3%. i think the biggest question here is this: do you think aaron judge's regression will be more significant than cal raleigh's thus allowing raleigh to win mvp?
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i don't know enough about the calculations prediction sites like steamer or zips use to determine babip regression or advise you on this. probably best if you take a look yourself and develop your own internal model for babip regression. what about cal raleigh, do you think he's due for some regression in the second half?
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how did you arrive at your second-half babip regression? .365-.375 is higher than most prediction sites. most prediction sites range between .318 to .360 babip in the second half for judge
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that's not judge's current triple slash though. his current triple slash is .363/.470/.735 with a .442 babip. based on that, what do you expect as potential babip regression for the second half of the year?
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if judge were to regress 40-50 points, what would his second half triple slash line look like?
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@kagami
based on your internal analysis, what would raleigh need to do (or judge fail to do) to overtake judge in the mvp race?
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hey @bracky can you talk to me about cal raleigh and his chances to win al mvp this year?
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@kagami
that slide absolutely stole the show (and the bag). bailey has one of the better pop times + arm strength so it’s pretty hard to steal on him. makes that improv slide all the more impressive.
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combined with the flash’s speed
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