my printing money playbook for today:
> watch NFL
> bet on Polymarket (in this game bet on Jaguars)
enjoy
spent 2 hours analyzing 8 NBA games today
5 out of 8 have strong 3-5% hedge advantage on Polymarket
execution guide:
➤ Timberwolves vs Heat
if you bought Wolves on sportsbooks (BetUS 1.71, LowVig 1.75, Bovada 1.71)
you can hedge with Heat on Polymarket at 44¢ (~2.27) vs 2.17-2.20 at sportsbooks
3% cheaper hedge
...
1
us reportedly conducting military ops in Venezuela
explosions in caracas, us helicopters spotted, airspace closed, ground clashes reported
us markets closed → crypto is the only liquid market open 24/7
btc already dipped to ~$89.5k
why this matters:
venezuela + iran are key oil suppliers to china
trump pressuring b...
$MADURO
6h vol
$47
2
1
Happy new year, my family ❤️
that will be my first LEGO set hah
and thank you to everyone who inspired me, supported me and helped me become better
I love you.
$HAPPY NEW YEAR, MY FAMILY ❤️THAT
6h vol
$47
1
Lighter is finally OUT
points cleared at ~$50 (20 $LIT per point)
market was fomo-pricing them at $70–100 before hype died, so point buyers got absolutely rekt
token still getting dumped
the more interesting question now is fdv one day after launch:
1
what if you slept well, stayed consistent with training, built something that actually feels right, spent time with the right people, and learned to stay in the moment?
sounds like a much happier version of you
$WHAT IF YOU SLEPT WELL, STAYED C
6h vol
$47
1
this is one of the cleanest Polymarket edges I’ve seen lately
Sabalenka vs Kyrgios is a perfect example of where prediction markets beat sportsbooks
just cleaner pricing on underdogs
➤ sportsbooks price this match:
<> Sabalenka 4.5-4.8
<> Kyrgios 1.20-1.25
market consensus: Kyrgios wins 80%+ of the time
➤ Polymar...
2
Arina Sabalenka is ready for today’s game
if you take a close look at the odds on sportsbooks and on Polymarket, you can find some very juicy arbitrage opportunities…
have a great Sunday frens
3
massive sports day on polymarket today
32 games across NFL, CFB, NBA, NHL
80% of them showing hedge + arbitrage opportunities right now
which sector you want me to analyze?
$MASSIVE SPORTS DAY ON POLYMARKET
6h vol
$47
3
The Christmas curse that might cost SGA the MVP
SGA is having a monster year: 33.4 PPG on elite efficiency, OKC at 26–5 and pacing for 70 wins.
Then the Spurs showed up. Three times. And dismantled them.
MVP odds now:
• SGA => 47%
• Jokic => 41%
Everyone else is irrelevant.
SGA case:
33.4 / 5.5 / 6.6 on 56% shooti...
3
okaaay, what is it, Steve?
Steve is in the top-3 candidates to die in Stranger Things
his odds are sitting at 25%.
But this Netflix cover I found…
feels a bit unsettling
2
1,670+ people just got richer from one boxing match ($1.05M total distributed)
yesterday i found the biggest whale on Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul
from $35K to $384K portfolio in ONE night (just 10.9x growth from a single bet)
it's this easy on Polymarket when you're right
Polymarket paid out in full
no delays, no ...
2
Can Netflix actually close the Warner Bros. deal in its favor?
Here’s how Polymarket is currently pricing it:
<> Netflix: 75%
<> Paramount: 14%
<> None by June 30, 2027: 7%
<> Comcast: 2.8%
But a literal read of the market rules makes one thing clear:
this market isn’t trading "who wins eventually", it’s trading who...
2
I analyzed over 2,000 wallets for today's NBA Emirates Cup final
213 smart traders bet on Spurs
135 smart traders chose Knicks
but here's the interesting part — those who bet on Knicks are betting 3x larger
Question is, who's going to be right
➤ What favors Spurs:
<> 57% more wallets with high scores
<> 19 traders...
2
Imagine scrolling X, registering on Polymarket, making 5 bets and your portfolio is up $17k
That's what happened with the trader I found this morning
In just a few days he made $17k by betting on FDV markets
Worth following to see if this continues or was just lucky timing
Account:
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