@gusik4ever
spent 2 hours analyzing 8 NBA games today
5 out of 8 have strong 3-5% hedge advantage on Polymarket
execution guide:
➤ Timberwolves vs Heat
if you bought Wolves on sportsbooks (BetUS 1.71, LowVig 1.75, Bovada 1.71)
you can hedge with Heat on Polymarket at 44¢ (~2.27) vs 2.17-2.20 at sportsbooks
3% cheaper hedge
game: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-mia-2026-01-03?via=gusik4ever
➤ Spurs vs Portland
if you bought Spurs on sportsbooks (BetMGM 1.27, LowVig 1.28, FanDuel 1.28)
you can hedge with Blazers on Polymarket at 24¢ (~4.17) vs 3.90-4.00 at sportsbooks
4% cheaper hedge
game: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-por-sas-2026-01-03?via=gusik4ever
➤ Rockets vs Mavericks
if you bought Rockets on sportsbooks (LowVig 1.30, BetUS 1.30, BetOnline 1.30)
you can hedge with Mavs on Polymarket at 26¢ (~3.85) vs 3.70-3.74 at sportsbooks
3% cheaper hedge
game: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-hou-dal-2026-01-03?via=gusik4ever
➤ Bulls vs Hornets
if you bought Bulls on sportsbooks (FanDuel 1.81, LowVig 1.85, Bovada 1.77)
you can hedge with Hornets on Polymarket at 47¢ (~2.13) vs 2.02-2.10 at sportsbooks
1-3% cheaper hedge
game: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cha-chi-2026-01-03?via=gusik4ever
➤ Clippers vs Celtics
if you bought Clippers on sportsbooks (LowVig 1.85, FanDuel 1.86, DraftKings 1.82)
you can hedge with Celtics on Polymarket at 48¢ (~2.08) vs 1.98-2.02 at sportsbooks
3% cheaper hedge
game: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-bos-lac-2026-01-03?via=gusik4ever
other games has a slight edge on Polymarket but compare with your local sportsbooks to find better spreads