@gusik4ever
us reportedly conducting military ops in Venezuela
explosions in caracas, us helicopters spotted, airspace closed, ground clashes reported
us markets closed → crypto is the only liquid market open 24/7
btc already dipped to ~$89.5k
why this matters:
venezuela + iran are key oil suppliers to china
trump pressuring both = direct hit to china’s energy security
this likely isn’t limited to venezuela
polymarket was early:
• us–venezuela military engagement by jan 15 → 99% yes
• us invasion by jan 31 → 74% yes
• maduro out by jan 31 → 59% yes
smart money positioned ahead of headlines
what’s next:
risk-off sentiment
volatility spike while tradfi is closed
crypto absorbs panic first
crypto always bleeds first
volatile weekend ahead
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