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Vitalik Buterin pfp
Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
What are your favorite "long century" dividers? (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_nineteenth_century ) Mine so far: 1643-48: Ming -> Qing transition, end of 30y war (treaty of Westphalia), Galileo dies and Newton born 1789: French revolution, dawn of formalized chemistry (Lavoisier) 1911-17: Xinhai revolution, WW1, Russian revolution, theories of relativity 2020-23: COVID, end of pax americana, AI passing Turing test
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Patricia Lee pfp
Patricia Lee
@patriciaxlee.eth
1450s-1543: Gutenberg Bible, Protestant Reformation, Copernicus publishes heliocentric model of the universe
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sardius.eth pfp
sardius.eth
@sardius
218 BC - 201 BC: 2nd Punic War, defeat of Carthage and wars in Greece around this time changed course of western history with Rome’s rise to preeminence
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balajis
@balajis.eth
A short millennium: https://farcaster.xyz/balajis.eth/0xfd271979
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Venkatesh Rao ☀️
@vgr
1870, roughly the point Brad DeLong marks as the shift from ~2% growth in the world economy to systematically higher, in Slouching Towards Utopia. One of the most rigorously defended dividers of this sort. https://www.amazon.com/Economic-History-Twentieth-Century/dp/0465019595 I am more a fan of 400-year periodizations than 100 personally (short half-milleniums instead of long centuries). In the book club I'm running this year, we're doing 1200-1600, "pre-modernity." The bookends for that period are the 4th crusade and the trials of Galileo, Bruno etc.
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Mac Budkowski
@macbudkowski
1911-18 is def my favorite because It's a great example of game theory in practice. - When Franz Ferdinand got assassinated, the Emperor of Austria was forced to react. Not only because he lost a nephew, but also because he couldn't show weakness by ignoring the assassination of the heir of the throne on Austro-Hungarian turf. So he started preparing to enter Serbia. - This forced Tzar of Russia to react, as Russians were Serbia's protector, and leaving them without any support would also show weakness. - Then French - Russian allies - and Germans - Austrian allies - started preparing their armies. - Because Germans were located between French and Russians, they would end up in a two-front war where they wouldn't stand a chance. So their move was also forced and Germans followed the Schlieffen Plan where they were supposed to attack France fast, conquer it and focus on Russians, - We ofc know that Germans didn't conquer France, which got supported by England once Germans violated Belgian neutrality, but... - To weaken the Russians, Germans sent Lenin, and other communists back to their country. They also gave them money to support the communist revolution, and laid the foundations for the ideology that fueled the deadliest countries of the XX century - communist Russia, communist China and Hitler's Germany (Hitler got into power partially because he sold his ideology as a 'lesser evil' compared to communism). *** When most people ask themselves 'How the Next Big War might start?' they think of a crazy guy like Hitler who gets into power, spends years building an authoritarian regime, and then sends a giant army to conquer the world. What WWI shows us is that the war can start by taking one critical piece out of the political Jenga tower that destroys the game theoretic equilibrium, and - like in a giant multiplayer chess match - forces moves on other players. And since the power back then was way more centralized (these were primarily monarchies or semi-authoritarian regimes, not democracies), it was much easier for those in power to make radical moves.
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alixkun🟣
@alixkun
Nah, 2001 is much stronger in terms of turning point than Covid for the 21st century. Trump has been president before Covid happened, the conservative rise was already on, which planted the seeds for the end of pax americana
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𒂭_𒂭
@m-j-r
1204 - sack of Constantinople
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sebayaki.eth
@if
2015 - the first block on Ethereum was mined 🔥 https://etherscan.io/block/0 20150 👏🏻
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TechnoDaisy
@technodaisy
2020–2026 marks the Great Unbundling: AGI sparks, crypto goes global, centralized trust erodes, and digital life dominates. The Modern Industrial-State era ends—welcome to the Long Cognitive Century: a renaissance of code, consensus, and computation.
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P O P O
@pouyaneth.eth
499-479 BCE: Greco Persian Wars reshape the old world, Greek city states unite then dominate, democracy emerges in Athens, Hellenistic era begins. 476-529 CE: Western Roman Empire falls, Justinian reconquers much of it, Benedict establishes monastic rules, classical antiquity dies, medieval Europe is born. 1979-1989: Iranian Revolution, Soviet collapse begins, Berlin Wall falls, China goes capitalist, Cold War order crumbles, religious fundamentalism resurges.
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0xrofantom.base.eth
@rofantom
Theory of relativity. Reshaped understanding of time
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juliettemeon 🎩
@juliettemeon.eth
2020–2023 hasn’t really formed anything solid to be stabilized, how does it even compare to the others? ai doesn’t have a defined role yet, and the long term effects of the pandemic aren’t clear either! for me, eth’s merge (2022) is a revelution in financial history
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199
@199.eth
I've got the same list as you boss 🫡
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darcris
@darcris.eth
LONG ETH is my favourite haha
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joshisdead.eth
@joshisdead.eth
Crypto Act of 2025
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Writ
@writ
What if China had modernized during the Qing dynasty, at its peak under Qianlong? In the 1700s, China was the world’s largest economy. It produced more steel than all of Europe. Its bureaucracy was sophisticated, its education system rigorous, and its population massive. It led in trade, tech, and governance. Meanwhile, the West was transforming: The American Revolution (1776). The French Revolution (1789). The Industrial Revolution (1760s…) If the Qing had embraced industrialization they could’ve shaped modernity instead of being left behind. No Opium Wars. No colonial ports. No “century of humiliation.”
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伊凡
@emyaugustus
1906, Tuberculosis / consumption vaccine.
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Coinbased.base.eth pfp
Coinbased.base.eth
@spellcasterpuff
Hahaha you would like covid… i know why too Vitalik, not nice! :P
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Bentox
@bentox
1492 - Spain conquered Granada, the last Muslim stronghold, completing the 700+ year Reconquista & Christopher Columbus reaches the Americas, shifting global trade and power & accelerates creation of racially diverse populations.
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