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https://opensea.io/collection/the-surveyors-1
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Stephan
@stephancill
Ponder predictions feel like they miss the mark a bit It rewards you for predicting what you think other people will think other people will think. I have stopped doing them because it disincentivises voicing your opinion I would love a polling product that lets you vote and bet on the result separately
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Stephan
@stephancill
Cc @colin @ba
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Colin Johnson 💭
@cojo.eth
Appreciate the feedback! We’ve thought about this quite a bit. To some degree, the thesis is that we come to a more accurate understanding of the world’s opinion because the outcome is informed by us calculating on behalf of others rather than ourselves. Perhaps you get a read that the world is moving towards authoritarianism, as an example, and this gives you a chance to express that prediction - regardless of whether or not it’s your own belief. We’ve talked about adding a personal vote in addition to the predictive vote, but this also adds complication for a user. Two steps is harder than one, and then you have to display two results as well. You then need to add more UI elements to tell people what they’re doing on each step, and there will be dropoff and confusion there. And after each Ponder, will people start to feel fatigued by switching their mental models back and forth?
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Frey trades🎩📈
@freymon.eth
i think that’s actually the point though, it makes you try to think what other would pick thereby challenging you to reason from their perspective and understand others better—“what would other people choose and why?” i like it, but yeah also having one that rewards on the actual result is needed (i mean it’s called a prediction poll)
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KMac
@kmacb.eth
Yeah feel this too. Theres also low level anxiety that the tap is going to be public & non repudiatable (is that a word?). It bothers me just enough to opt out of guessing what other people will do. I’m sure they’ll iterate & evolve this. There’s a there for there.
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Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈
@icetoad.eth
You do have a point
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Tom
@tomkey
Sometimes there is an overlap. The poll today I went with my personal choice and I also believe I’ll be rewarded. I agree tho it can be hard to be rewarded for your opinion/preference
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georgeh
@georgeh
Sounds somewhat like onchain family feud
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