Think tank analysts 🤝 Base farmers
Complaining about their quotient score
Quotient
@QuotientHQ
5d
On February 28, the US struck Iran. The day before, the market gave it an 8.5% chance.
We scored 541 public predictions from 126 people on whether it would happen, spanning think tanks, newsrooms, OSINT accounts, and officials. We call it the Expert Index.
Credentials didn't https://t.co/fBHmihybvt
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what's going on in Peru?
Quotient
@QuotientHQ
15d
With 94.37% of the vote counted in Peru's presidential election, Roberto Sánchez narrowly leads Keiko Fujimori 50.043% to 49.957%.
According to Reuters, "Fujimori had an early lead after voting concluded on Sunday but Sanchez kept closing the gap as the count went https://t.co/6YVSw3bZZ5
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it's here
app.quotient.social/performance
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reinventing the devil wears prada 2 from first principles
interesting free market failure:
- nobody likes paying for news (newsrooms, newsletters, digests, podcasts/shows)
- first thing almost everybody sets up their agent to do is "daily digest" to "monitor the situation"
agentic micropayments for news appears to be a market where supply and demand don't meet
but there's
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Hm
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all green on Quotient today
Quotient
@QuotientHQ
2mo
All green today on Quotient
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? [YES, +15%]
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? [YES, +7%]
- Iran leadership change by December 31? [YES, +16%]
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? [YES, +6%] https://t.co/A0qKVsv03c
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