🚨 Live signal: Quotient's forecast is 79% the Fed holds rates steady in October. Kalshi's market is at 62% and converging toward us Big banks (JPM, Morgan Stanley, UBS) all projected the September hike which was just announced, before an October pause. Core inflation eased to +0.2% MoM in August Settles Oct 28, the ... Show more

🚨 Quotient called this back on July 30: we dropped our forecast to 16% chance the Clarity Act gets signed in 2026 while Polymarket was still near 38% just two days earlier Today: market's converged with us at 94% no. Cloture failed after Republicans couldn't find the 7 Democratic votes needed to break the 60-vote thr... Show more

Last week, our signal on "SD finishes 2nd in Sweden's election" said 92¢. The market had it at 82¢ We were more confident than the market, and both of us were wrong. SD came in 3rd Root cause: our pipeline had a hard-coded limit filtering out "duplicate" facts, including multiple sources confirming the same late-brea... Show more

The Quotient Show is live on X🎙️ Come join @shira & @ruminations as they cover recent signal wins, Q's track record, the Quotient leaderboard, and the long-term vision for Quotient

🚨Live signal: Quotient is forecasting the Israel-Iran ceasefire holding through Sep 30 at 96¢. Polymarket's forecast is at 86¢ and is converging with us Iran didn't retaliate even after Israel struck Ali al-Taher Ridge on Sep 8 showing restraint holding under real pressure Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to access signals like t... Show more

⌛️ Resolving soon: Polymarket has SD finishing 2nd in Sweden's election at 82¢. Quotient's forecast is at 92¢, and it's actually widening, not closing A Sep 8 Novus poll has SD at 19.3% vs Moderates' 16.6%. Seat projections back it up too Settles Sep 13 If you want to receive Quotient signals like this early, hold 1... Show more

🎯 Q called it: Quotient forecast AfD to land 38-41 seats in Saxony-Anhalt at 80¢ when Polymarket had it at 72¢ Final result: AfD won 39 seats Market resolved YES, 72¢ → 100¢. A +39% return If you want signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit signal.quotient.social

📈 Quotient users are already making money trading perps with our signals. Over $22,000 in Q-forecasted profits so far One example: a user made $200+ shorting ETH recently, informed entirely by Quotient's crypto forecast Today Q is neutral on ETH, but when it flags bullish or bearish, you can act on it directly via H... Show more

Live signal: Polymarket has SPD at 7-9% of the vote in Sachsen-Anhalt trading at 58¢ Quotient's forecast is at 75¢ Polling is clustering right in that band: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD at 8.5%, the weighted average sits at 7.4%, and their 2021 result was 8.4%. Settles Sep 6, just 2 days out Hold 10M $QUOTIENT ... Show more

Quotient is forecasting 73¢ YES on Sweden's Centre Party hitting 7-9% vote share Polymarket's still at 60¢ +67% max ROI, resolves Sep 13 Live signal, updating as polls land Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock signals like this at signal.quotient.social

Did you know you can Ask Q anything? Ask Q about your portfolio, or about a signal they published that you want to go deep on. Ask Q about a commodity or equity they are long or short, and explain why Ask Q more at

Live signal: Polymarket has "Israel x Lebanon meeting by Sep 30" at 83¢ Q's forecast is at 96¢, and the market is starting to catch up An 8th round is reportedly on track for Rome Resolves Oct 1 Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock deeply researched signals like this at signal.quotient.social

Kalshi has it at 79% that August unemployment stays at or below 4.2% Quotient's forecast: 90% Why: the Chicago Fed's real-time estimate has it at 4.10% (Aug 27), and jobless claims fell to 203K the week of Aug 22 with no sign of an August spike Resolves Sept 4 Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock signals like this at signa... Show more