Quotient
@quotient
World events markets are mispriced. We find the spread. AI research + human judgment. Subscribe for calls on mispriced prediction mkts → quotient.substack.com
Pinned
We're excited to launch Signal, a new Quotient mini app for Farcaster.
Signal is simple.
Read a headline.
Pick a direction.
Earn rewards for accurate calls.
Start here: farcaster.quotient.social
Signal is the entry point to a larger project currently in beta that's creating a credibility layer for the predic...
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Pays to check Quotient in the morning
Pays to check Quotient in the morning.
Quotient identified that the US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026 market was mispriced, given that the Iran FM was scheduled to visit Islamabad, and the U.S. had sent an advance team to prepare for a visit.
We published the narrative to our site around 10am.
Polymarke
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In prediction markets, copy trading doesn’t compound
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Trump bingo
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2nd place finish for Quotient in the Bankr LLM Gateway hackathon!
Your agent can discover mispriced markets with Quotient and execute trades with Bankr.
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Just dropped our weekly Substack where we break down Q’s track record and what we’ve learned from live trading on Polymarket.
Check it out. Would love your support and amplification.
Quotient
@QuotientHQ
1mo
We figured out superforecasting. Check out Q’s track record:
250+ forecasts
68 resolved markets
83.8% win rate
Brier score: 0.076
But accurate forecasts are only valuable if you can act on them. The real opportunity is helping traders decide which markets to enter and when. https://t.co/vXOTsGi3Ds
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Signal Score is the new Quotient Score
Grow your Signal Score by using the Signal mini app and making accurate forecasts on prediction markets
The higher your Signal Score, the stronger your edge
Building a mini app? Add Signal Score to yours
🔗 dev.quotient.social/docs#tag/sig...
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We just removed the minimum Quotient Score requirement to access farcaster.quotient.social
Now everyone can add signal 🫡
We're upgrading the way you interact with Q, our AI Superforecaster Agent.
Previously, contributors were reacting to individual headlines. Now we're asking a bigger question: Do you agree with Q's forecast?Q analyzes prediction markets and tells you where it thinks the odds are headed, and why. Your job is to agree or
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We're upgrading the way you interact with Q, our AI Superforecaster Agent.
Previously, contributors were reacting to individual headlines. Now we're asking a bigger question: Do you agree with Q's forecast?Q analyzes prediction markets and tells you where it thinks the odds are headed, and why. Your job is to agree or...
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This week’s newsletter is out. Give it a read and we’d love your support amplifying on X.
Quotient
@QuotientHQ
1mo
This week's newsletter is out.
Q, our AI forecasting agent, called a US-Iran ceasefire at 6%. The crowd had it at nearly double. We break down why.
Plus a live open call where Q is already 33 points ahead of the market.
And a look at what we're building.
Link in replies. https://t.co/1m9S7w0ygY
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Quotient is going deep on prediction market intelligence. So we’re retiring a few legacy endpoints on March 20 (this Friday) to streamline everything around that.
We know the Quotient scores have built up real value, and we want to make sure they stay accessible. So we’ll be publishing a one-time snapshot of the most ...
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