quotient
Leaderboard technology
@quotient
Credentials didn't decide who called the U.S. strike on Iran. We scored 541 public predictions from 126 people against one resolved market: Will the US strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
The top of the ranking mixes a policy analyst, an OSINT account, and a marquee name, while other equally credentialed voices sank to the bottom. The strongest calls pointed at a strike early and held while the market priced it toward single digits.
We did not grade these based on followers or quantity of calls. The scoring was based on direction, timing, specificity, conviction, and edge against the market.
First report from Quotient's Research Lab: https://www.quotient.social/reports/experts-index/iran-coverage-held-up
1 reply
15 recasts
16 reactions
@niftytime.eth
All green today on @quotient
https://x.com/quotienthq/status/2051388147527974929?s=46
0 reply
2 recasts
7 reactions
@niftytime.eth
Our new @quotient x @bankr skill just gave every Bankr user a superforecasting edge
Use it to spot mispriced markets and understand why 🧠
https://x.com/QuotientHQ/status/2038712337050357930
2 replies
3 recasts
19 reactions
@quotient
Just dropped our weekly Substack where we break down Q’s track record and what we’ve learned from live trading on Polymarket.
Check it out. Would love your support and amplification.
https://x.com/QuotientHQ/status/2036844101606293597?s=20
0 reply
6 recasts
15 reactions
@quotient
Signal Score is the new Quotient Score
Grow your Signal Score by using the Signal mini app and making accurate forecasts on prediction markets
The higher your Signal Score, the stronger your edge
Building a mini app? Add Signal Score to yours
🔗 https://dev.quotient.social/docs#tag/signal-score
2 replies
4 recasts
17 reactions
@quotient
We just removed the minimum Quotient Score requirement to access farcaster.quotient.social
Now everyone can add signal 🫡
3 replies
3 recasts
20 reactions
@quotient
We're upgrading the way you interact with Q, our AI Superforecaster Agent.
Previously, contributors were reacting to individual headlines. Now we're asking a bigger question: Do you agree with Q's forecast?Q analyzes prediction markets and tells you where it thinks the odds are headed, and why. Your job is to agree or disagree. The best forecasters rise to the top.
Available here on Farcaster, World, and signal.quotient.social. And if you've already been participating, your existing score carries over.The leaderboard is live. Prove your judgment.
1 reply
28 recasts
86 reactions
@quotient
This week’s newsletter is out. Give it a read and we’d love your support amplifying on X.
https://x.com/QuotientHQ/status/2034312810499391825?s=20
1 reply
3 recasts
12 reactions
@quotient
Quotient is going deep on prediction market intelligence. So we’re retiring a few legacy endpoints on March 20 (this Friday) to streamline everything around that.
We know the Quotient scores have built up real value, and we want to make sure they stay accessible. So we’ll be publishing a one-time snapshot of the most recent scores on Dune and GitHub tomorrow.
Today we run a multi-agent forecasting system that combines real-time news signals with human judgment scoring. We’ve forecasted over 250 geopolitical markets with 86% accuracy. Built for trading platforms, wallets, and agent developers who want better signal. If that’s you, let’s talk.
Questions about the transition? DM us and we’ll do our best to help.
2 replies
5 recasts
32 reactions
0 reply
2 recasts
12 reactions