I suspect that there are a lot of ideas  that today that are open secrets, but not yet common knowledge. 

So a lot of people know a certain thing and believe it to be true, but they don’t yet have confidence that a critical mass of other people also know that thing to be true.

When that switch slips over to common knowledge, everybody will suddenly start to act on that knowledge. The trick that prevents taking action is probably more about timelines and “markets staying irrational” type dynamics than anything else.

Pragmatism (Security) at OP Labs.
Prev: ConsenSys & Coinbase.

Attribs: Friendly, curious, introverted, mid-witted.
Chans: /eth-security /maurelian /stoicism




Is this the "slowly then all at once" effect?

I think the drone strikes are likely a common knowledge establishing tipping point.

Now Russia has gained the drone superiority in Kostyantynivka direction and for several months Ukrainian sources have been talking about how it is increasingly difficult to supply and move forces as their lines of communications are being threatened ever deeper behind the

So, what should we take away from today’s strikes? Imagine a scenario where hostile nation uses similar tactics to launch, not hundreds, but thousands of small drones, be it human or AI operated, from widely distributed unassuming launch sites like cargo containers, civilian

Pasi Paroinen

A doodler and computerer. I like permissive/permissionless open source, smart contracts, p2p systems, room-scale VR, and NixOS.

shazow.net

Currently: WhatsABI

Drone warfare is really interesting, on the one hand it feels inevitable (like self driving cars, AI, whatever) on the other hand it's hard to tell what the anti-drone defense systems will be like. I wonder how much further our EMP tech can go? Or if we'll have some kind of hybrid drone/micro missiles that take out other drones. Or some kind of DoS situation.

I think the drone strikes are likely a common knowledge establishing tipping point.

https://x.com/inkvisiit/status/1929207049654575262?s=46