maurelian  pfp
maurelian
@maurelian.eth
I suspect that there are a lot of ideas that today that are open secrets, but not yet common knowledge. So a lot of people know a certain thing and believe it to be true, but they don’t yet have confidence that a critical mass of other people also know that thing to be true. When that switch slips over to common knowledge, everybody will suddenly start to act on that knowledge. The trick that prevents taking action is probably more about timelines and “markets staying irrational” type dynamics than anything else.
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shazow pfp
shazow
@shazow.eth
Is this the "slowly then all at once" effect?
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maurelian  pfp
maurelian
@maurelian.eth
I think the drone strikes are likely a common knowledge establishing tipping point. https://x.com/inkvisiit/status/1929207049654575262?s=46
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shazow pfp
shazow
@shazow.eth
Drone warfare is really interesting, on the one hand it feels inevitable (like self driving cars, AI, whatever) on the other hand it's hard to tell what the anti-drone defense systems will be like. I wonder how much further our EMP tech can go? Or if we'll have some kind of hybrid drone/micro missiles that take out other drones. Or some kind of DoS situation.
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