i’ll be incredibly conservative here.
we’re maybe 10 years away from automating every manufacturing and warehouse job on earth (~530m), every driver and delivery role (~180m), most software and coding (~40m), and at least a quarter of white collar work (~350m).
that’s over a

🍓🍓🍓

https://x.com/iruletheworldmo/status/1928171580917436713?s=46

good way to get engagement

i think conventional wisdom on these things changes often

there will certainly be a massive reorg of the economy ofc

I used to feel this way but this conversation impacted my thinking a lot

I agree the tech will be here very soon, but the actual implementation will take much longer than expected.

I used to feel this way but this conversation impacted my thinking a lot

I agree the tech will be here very soon, but the actual implementation will take much longer than expected.

https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/tyler-cowen-4

Every manufacturing job will not be automated. Parts with high complexity built in low quantities will not be cost effective to automate. Not in 10 years, at least.