jihad ↑ on Farcaster

jihad ↑ pfp

Greg thinks AI is going to cause tons of people to lose their jobs and then become founders (now that they can build solo with AI tools). Who has thought most deeply about whether this is true? https://x.com/gregisenberg/status/1944544984125874620

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cyrus pfp

wildly optimistic and unoriginal take. the replacement of ‘intellectually mundane labour’ won’t be from everyone suddenly becoming a founder, there isn’t enough demand or attention to go round. researching this at the moment as part of the AI human flourishing thing at MIT and frankly no one has any real answers to the displacement.

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Nicholas <AESC> pfp

Nicholas <AESC>

I have been thinking about this for more than 7 years. basically yes. the economics get messy though because the value of currency is going to get really weird. happy to share a new article in 1-2 weeks, would love your thoughts

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Omar pfp

Likely have growth in founders who build bootstrapped, cash flow companies that work on a local level. But that is still the minority as agency is a real barrier and a century of epigenetics has programmed people to expect a salary for just showing up.

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Nick Smith pfp

I think things will likely play out in ways that are proposed in this essay https://intelligence-curse.ai/ however, I am fairly optimistic about the future and although many hundreds of millions will struggle to adapt to a world that looks nothing like the past, billions more will thrive and rediscover whats truly important in their lives I think you’ll see a lot of disillusioned workplace refugees finding belonging and purpose in online communities and finding novel ways to create value (both financial and non-financial) human are, if nothing else… adaptable

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rubinovitz pfp

I think Greg is generally wrong but also that most people aren’t cut out to run businesses.

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matthewb pfp

don’t think it will result in everyone becoming a founder, there aren’t many people well-suited to that role and there isn’t really enough attention to go around for all of these new ventures. the real outcome will be much more nuanced than what Greg is painting here, which I guess is obvious since his entire account revolves around posting clickbait. will be a difficult and existential question to answer going forward with founders/tech people being heavily biased in favour of AI (and positive outcomes) and academia heavily biased against. will likely require independent research to come to any meaningful conclusions.

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tyler ↑ pfp

imo Greg vastly overestimates how many people want to build their own software, let alone be founders. Ai will continue to take jobs at an even quicker pace and those who still have jobs will likely “build software” (using integrated text tools to generate functionality, not necessarily writing code) for themselves to do those jobs. There will be more founders, smaller startups, and more software that isn’t built/owned by companies. Every piece of software is being deconstructed not by features but by use cases which are increasingly niche-driven. So while it takes a smaller team to create a product/company, the TAM is necessarily smaller.

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Chris Carella pfp

I think this is a possible result. I don't think "founder" fits the mental model we have today but effectively lots of people are going to monetize good ideas and temporary attention without a career. Similar to apps as content. Imagine if that one time you went viral could cover 5 years of salary.

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rileybeans pfp

have been teaching a flavor of this in a small city in Vietnam for the past two months. agree with Cyrus that Greg's take is less than original and he would be wise to learn more about Post-labor Economics from David Shapiro instead of constantly engagement farming lol

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0xbhaisaab pfp

i've been hearing this founder narrative a lot since layoffs got brutal, but honestly doubt everyone losing their job will build something with actual demand. sure ai makes building easier, but finding customers who'll actually pay instead of building it in-house customized to their requirement would become harder and harder.

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jp 🎩 pfp

literally every projection that we can read about how this will unfold is just mental masturbation because the level of unlock that ai will bring to the human experience is not mental and the mind is the one that tries to think it through but, answering to your question, probably the person that created this video https://youtu.be/DMeq7aBjk9Q?si=JH1mqsiwUNmMd-EU

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