there is nearly half a billion in volume on the Superbowl in Polymarket. wowow

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Bill gates predicted the future of computers in 1993. Study history! https://youtu.be/7QR9otLcnf0?si=F1StnnezkCmArmNE

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Seems like a step towards X as the "everything app". Wouldn't be surprised if we get some wallet functionality in this, maybe a way to send stables https://x.com/AlexFinnX/status/1912533338235236780

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How do we get Scottie on here? https://x.com/scottiepippen/status/1831074924217438310?s=46&t=zLdQ7EWWTSwPypkuLdLR7g

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Now Kalshi’s doing the same thing: 4.05% APY on bets. Hoping that prediction market defi expands the scope of betting incentives — a lot of idle capital waiting on the sidelines. https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1844418791800717642

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it's interesting to see interactive brokers offering an incentive coupon for locked capital on bets. one of the issues with prediction markets today is that longer time horizon markets don't offer an incentive for effectively staking into it. will be curious to see how this factors into trader decision making. https://forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com/en/home.php

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Almost a @polymarket bet: I will lose my danbux in 2 days. GN

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feelings checkin pls https://x.com/ddwchen/status/1823122408217403526

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we did it. long live the wisdom of bros.

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"wisdom of crowds"

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Interesting data point if you think the betting markets may have overreacted to today's events. (Haven't fact checked it tho tbf) https://x.com/lxeagle17/status/1812361361772708009?t=pWMYV_uw8d5zoq5wdJ3jHQ&s=19

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https://warpcast.com/gokhan.eth/0xb45f62b3

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A prediction market for friends and families would be fun. Bet $50 that Uncle Jim will have >4 beers tonight. Bet $10 that your fiend Jill will have a new tattoo next time you see her. Anything really.

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it does not matter whether we have onchain prediction markets or now where onchain simply attests to proofs as long as we do not have expert prediction markets on issues and topics that need expertise and quantification.

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lmafo. this is fun. not stretching a la gonesumer gripto: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc?r=Z29raGFu

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