predictions
a prediction market built on top of Farcaster
cast your predictions for 2024 below!
@catabolismo
This will never happen, because PMs shine the most when complementing voting.
https://x.com/GENIC0N/status/1983665432017219963?t=bnT3QTCLzphHnD95wtGjtg&s=19
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@catabolismo
Since I see Trump's pardon to CZ as a confirmation of the thesis below, allow me to make some more predictions:
>bull extends to 2026 thanks to QE and liquidity cycle
>printer go mega brrrr with next Fed's chair
>wearerich.jpg
>also crime season like never before
>blow off top within first three months of new Chair's mandate
>icarus.jpg
>Trumps fall out of grace before midterms
>crypto crashing also pops the AI and Everything bubbles
>2008 looks like a dress rehearsal for next recession
>crazy worldwide dedollarization
>Donald doesn't make it to 2028
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@catabolismo
I predict Vitalik Buterin will be awarded the Nobel Price in Economics before turning 50.
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@catabolismo
Prediction markets democratize future forecasting. They bring into the public eye signals for which people pay big money.
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@catabolismo
What people call The Singularity will actually be a Global Workers Revolution
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@catabolismo
Prediction markets not predicting correctly the most secret election process in the entire world is not the dunk people think it is.
Then again, betting on the next pope is a sin that leads to excommunication so it might also be God's way of punishing the gamblers.
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@catabolismo
Found myself using the B world. What's the easiest way of betting on this outcome?
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@catabolismo
Tbh this feels less like "what a weird timeline we live in" and more like "hey look I found a prediction market whose outcome I can influence and get absurd gains at little to no cost".
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@jkg.eth
Bill gates predicted the future of computers in 1993.
Study history!
https://youtu.be/7QR9otLcnf0?si=F1StnnezkCmArmNE
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@catabolismo
I thought @ponder was a cool UX for having a normie-friendly prediction market. Sadly it seems to have chosen the path of being a popularity contest for Buzzfeed-type quizzes with gambling on top of it.
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@jkg.eth
Seems like a step towards X as the "everything app". Wouldn't be surprised if we get some wallet functionality in this, maybe a way to send stables
https://x.com/AlexFinnX/status/1912533338235236780
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