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Conversations about effective accelerationism

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no Volcker, microtransistors and personal computing would have reached a different economy of scale. unlikely, but the proliferation of digital scientific instrumentation may have still discovered fracking and natgas, so altogether the calculus for domestic manufacturing would be too good to offshore. intercity rail may have scaled differently, so suburban development may have scaled differently. immigration policy would have needed to expand further. mass media would have differentiated further, internet would be even more convenient, and neural networks would have been further explored. meanwhile, global commerce would go brrr as the reserve currency would be that much more attractive. although, all of this may still have never happened because history, like nature, is a fickle beast.

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Evan pfp

Could this drive the cost of IVF to $0? Steps toward progress https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/03/health/ai-male-infertility-sperm-wellness

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HF is chasing this, btw: https://huggingface.co/blog/cgeorgiaw/constellaration-fusion-challenge

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yeag https://x.com/PrimeIntellect/status/1938490370054361422

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the analogy of 56k modems to broadband is super powerful. really pushes against what we do and don't know about post-childhood plasticity. organic superintelligence is infinitesimally known.

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

The combinatorial vastness of possibility space means that solutions are out there. The structure of that space, and the power of intelligence to navigate it, means that we can find them: https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/the-problem-solving-animal-part-3

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https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphagenome-ai-for-better-understanding-the-genome/ gene therapy and preventative oncology are very decisive for global life experience.

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

The Techno-Humanist Manifesto, Chapter 7: The Problem-Solving Animal, part 2 In part 1, I argued that economic growth is not limited by resources—because growth is not driven by resources, but by ideas. One might well ask, then: will we run out of ideas? https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/the-problem-solving-animal-part-2

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by the end of the century, there won't be any megacorporations that haven't launched both stablecoins and rockets. https://x.com/luke_leisher_/status/1935016971495698697

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looks like the opensource biomolecular models are still winning: https://boltz.bio/boltz2 https://github.com/jwohlwend/boltz

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

The Roots of Progress Institute is seeking to commission stories for a new article series, “Intelligence Age,” on future applications of AI. We are looking for stories of around 3k words, and will pay $2 per word. Details and apply within: https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/we-want-your-stories-about-the-ai

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

As long as people have noticed progress, they have wondered: will we run out of natural resources? But there are no natural resources. All resources are artificial: the product of knowledge https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/the-problem-solving-animal-part-1

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

The Roots of Progress fellowship deadline is tomorrow! Also, I’ll be at Edge Esmeralda this coming week, find me there! Plus many more announcements, links, charts and more in the latest links digest: https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/links-and-short-notes-2025-05-31

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Jason Crawford pfp

@jasoncrawford.eth

I was initially skeptical about claims of stagnation, but I was eventually convinced by a systematic survey of the evidence. Progress has not ground to a halt, but in the US at least, it has slowed relative to its peak in the late 19th to mid-20th century: https://newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/the-flywheel-part-2

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Marwan ♋️ pfp

There’s a few things we can do that I think are likely to help: - study AI - post more organic human content online - gather resources so you can keep going as long as possible without working (and potentially without other people working)

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