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Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
New theory: Iran’s air defenses are still intact, somewhat, and most strikes by Israel have been missiles launched from Iraqi airspace or drones smuggled into Iran and then launched. Helps explain why there’s a gaping lack of intelligence of what happened to the nuclear sites in Iran allegedly destroyed by the US
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Jordan
@ruminations
I don't find this theory very compelling. F16s were flying over Mashhad. You not having intelligence doesn't mean there's a lack of intelligence. It means that the tools we use to do battle damage assessment (satellites, drones, high altitude blimps) are highly classified, and we generally don't release that data to satisfy people's curiosity, however reasonable. It's definitely possible Trump overstated damage to the sites, but it's pretty clear Iran's air defenses are decimated.
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Hugh Naylor pfp
Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
I dunno. They seem to be knocking drones out of the sky. I think initially the Israelis were able to go in unencumbered, but that doesn’t seem to be the case anymore. I don’t think their air defenses were decimated, in short, though certainly they have taken some hits
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