Hugh Naylor

@hughnaylor

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366 Followers

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Who wants to start a Fartcoin treasury company with me? We could call it FartStrategy or Gasco or something

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Manlets rejoicing

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Ethereum and Solana looking good here 🤝

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This is the greatest book ever written about Israel’s relationship with the Holocaust. It’s long forgotten that Holocaust survivors were spat upon in Israel as lambs to the slaughter before the Eichmann trial. Also, the book adds to Avi Shlaim’s work on Zionism and how the ideology took on many incarnations before the Likud/Kahanist strands ultimately took control. Zionism, in short, was a diverse ideology with many differing interpretations. Not all were extremely nationalist. Not at all. This must be remembered and factored into discussions, especially given the origins of persecution in Europe. Just to add, before the 1940s, Muslim-majority polities were far more tolerant of Jews when compared to Europe

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There’s this expectation now that Iran will double down on developing a nuclear weapons program. But such a program is extremely costly, both economically and politically. Yet its sophisticated missile arsenal proved extremely effective in its war with Israel. A tremendous amount of damage was inflicted — the extent of which is not fully accounted for, in part because of Israel’s military censorship. It does seem that doubling down on the missile program — with emphasis on hypersonic missiles — would be more cost effective and in turn would provide the necessary force to deter both Israel and US forces in the region. Almost think not pursuing nukes would be more effective were the missile program ramped up instead

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Fartcoin looks good send it post-haste

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Btw, if anyone is wondering, my assessment of the Israel-Iran war is that Iran didn’t lose. So it’s like the 2006 Hezbollah war, only Iran inflicted far more damage than Hezbollah did. Not losing is winning in this calculus, so Israel is deterred.

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Per yesterday’s announcement

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Hoping this ceasefire holds 🤞but don’t wanna get my hopes too high

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Now a spicy prediction: Hezbollah is regrouping and could re-enter the conflict if the fighting with Iran intensifies — primarily because the Lebanese state has been unable to counter in the eyes of the public ongoing Israeli military moves in southern Lebanon, thereby giving more political room for the group to fight again. Though it is obvs a degraded force

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New theory: Iran’s air defenses are still intact, somewhat, and most strikes by Israel have been missiles launched from Iraqi airspace or drones smuggled into Iran and then launched. Helps explain why there’s a gaping lack of intelligence of what happened to the nuclear sites in Iran allegedly destroyed by the US

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No cat pics. Sigh

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If there’s no war escalation, I’m going to celebrate by posting nothing but pictures of my 21-year-old cat on here. It will truly be insufferable

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Only quote-posting this to say that those who call for ending the conflict by creating a two-state solution are either naive or disingenuous. It’s impossible now. It’s either ethnic cleansing or living together somehow

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I remember 13 years ago, living in Jerusalem and Ramallah, how the liberal-left of America was on a proverbial collision course with Israel and its supporters in America. Little came of it. Now — and I never predicted this — it is MAGA/the America First crowd that is leading the charge of what will inevitably lead to a break between the US and Israel. Not a value judgement here from me, just an observation. But Bannon calling for AIPAC to be registered as a foreign lobby is *the* crossing of the American-Israeli Rubicon. No coming back from this

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We’re now at the stage of the news hype cycle where the damage sustained by Israel is being overstated. Heard one prominent military analyst say that Iran has inflicted half a trillion dollars of damage on Israel, a country that has a GDP of … half a trillion dollars 🤷

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