David
@robinson
Kind of surprised there aren’t more prediction markets active here. ➢ Obviously there’s @ponder (literally why I started using FC again) ➢ Came across @predictbaseapp yesterday — looks like you can make your own markets ➢ Sports markets exist too But I feel like Ponder’s model — paying out winners from losers’ pools — is pretty straightforward and easily extendable to other prediction market types. Am I missing apps or challenges? With Poly partnering w/ Twitter, feels like it’s just a matter of time before the next wave of prediction market fervor hits.
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Ben Adamsky 💭
@ba
Totally agree here, I believe we're just scratching the surface on prediction market-esque apps. I also think they have to be dead simple in order to work on social and many out there today are too complicated. Bringing this kind of product to mini apps seems like a no brainer, it only gets more interesting at scale
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David
@robinson
Agreed, there's a fine line between fun and hyper financialization and resulting exhaustion (@ted had a good tweet on this). ➢ Imo, coins 9/10 times veer into hyperfinancialization while prediction markets can pull off "fun" easier, though need to be still interesting and fun markets. I think the subject range of Ponder's markets + the low bets + the fast rounds make it seem more fun than financial. Not sure what else I'd want to "bet" on tbh but I'd want it to be quick rounds
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