David (robinson)

Been back on Farcaster for ~a month and enjoying it so much I wrote a “Welcome Back to Farcaster” guide for yesterday’s Bankless newsletter. If you know someone close to bridging back but unsure where to start, may be useful to them. What’s inside: → Tactics for breaking in, drawing from @bradq, @dwr, and others who’ve been genuinely engaging to interact with as a “newcomer” → Mini apps to use regularly, expanding on @wmp.eth’s list of 20 worth testing → Why I came back: 1. Mini apps echo the early iOS or Facebook apps that novel ways to socialize only possible via software 2. My attention span’s improved with less Twitter + more varied subjects on Farcaster https://www.bankless.com/read/welcome-back-to-farcaster

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Nice piece from Bedlam about different potential perps markets from HIP-3. Most interesting to me are: ◆ Indexes — I.e. bundle SPX, HYPE, BTC, SUI (my bags) or bundle VC tokens and short ◆ Prediction Markets — e.g., BTC/yesUSD vs BTC/noUSD. If the event occurs, yesUSD tokens gain value while noUSD tokens go to zero, redistributing value to yes holders. Would also love to see more markets for long/short dominances like USDC or USDT dominance https://www.bedlamresear.ch/posts/builder-deployed-perps/

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I get the backlash to this market — but it's the wrong time to suddenly claim ethical high ground. Especially when, just weeks ago, someone spun up a dreadfully banal market comparing two women — one being their gf — so he could be affirmed she's hotter (crowd chose otherwise). Crowdsourced insights on topics like this war prove far more interesting than pondering who's hotter and are more of the tough questions I want to see from @ponder tbh. I'm not saying everyone's most informed, but these sentiment checks are what prediction markets are for.

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Kind of surprised there aren’t more prediction markets active here. ➢ Obviously there’s @ponder (literally why I started using FC again) ➢ Came across @predictbaseapp yesterday — looks like you can make your own markets ➢ Sports markets exist too But I feel like Ponder’s model — paying out winners from losers’ pools — is pretty straightforward and easily extendable to other prediction market types. Am I missing apps or challenges? With Poly partnering w/ Twitter, feels like it’s just a matter of time before the next wave of prediction market fervor hits.

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