One is poll aggregator, one is betting aggregator, frequented by people that are 1) heavily in crypto, and 2) heavily favor Trump bcs they think he will have a better impact for crypto. 

You cannot compare the two.

BRACKY

Why isn’t the gap closing if it’s mispriced?

Also Kalshi is available to US participants and isn’t crypto.

Sometimes crypto / Always whisky / Sometimes photography / Always poker / 


founder of /gentlemanswagers

Good question, and frankly, I'm not sure, so I can only take a guess. 

tinfoil theories (Russia, China and North Korea) aside, I'd guess that these "bets" are a bit different than e.g. sports bets, where when there is sufficient spread, you'd increase your bets, sort of like 7 times hits red, black is the favorite the next round. I've seen people bet on their favorite sports team even when it is a heavy underdog and has no chance of winning. This is political and although people are emotional about it, they are less likely to bet on the outcome, even if the odds are speaking it could be a winning bet. 

I have another guess but I won't comment on the profiles of average voter base for neither, as I don't want this to get too political or controversial. 

Again, just a guess (I'm not a psychologist, so I could be waaay off).

Why isn’t the gap closing if it’s mispriced?

Also Kalshi is available to US participants and isn’t crypto.

https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections