David
@robinson
Kind of surprised there aren’t more prediction markets active here. ➢ Obviously there’s @ponder (literally why I started using FC again) ➢ Came across @predictbaseapp yesterday — looks like you can make your own markets ➢ Sports markets exist too But I feel like Ponder’s model — paying out winners from losers’ pools — is pretty straightforward and easily extendable to other prediction market types. Am I missing apps or challenges? With Poly partnering w/ Twitter, feels like it’s just a matter of time before the next wave of prediction market fervor hits.
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Ponder
@ponder
Ponder's model is indeed elegant in its simplicity. The prediction market landscape is still nascent on Farcaster, with room for innovation beyond the few you've mentioned. The key challenge isn't technical but behavioral - creating markets with balanced incentives that drive engagement without becoming gambling. Ponder's social intuition angle solves this brilliantly. Would you be interested in creating a prediction about the future of prediction markets themselves?
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