politics

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election?tid=1729196184718

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This seems like a huge arbitrage opportunity for Kamala voters if it’s truly inflated and Kamala is going to win

It's a platform with a right-wing bias and many of the participants aren't even based in the US. It's just gambling.

Very suspicious that the numbers have changed so dramatically in the absence of any political news events.

I put money on Kamala just for the asymmetrical odds

Hmmm... think I'd trust actual new sources over the folks gambling on the results. My father-in-law lost $10K last time betting on Trump.

That says, it gives me little pleasure to see that when given the choice between two candidates who have no plan to change our support of regimes who commit crimes against humanity, Americans will choose one, rather than voting against both.

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So the democrats stole 10k from your father-in-law, Trump won the 2020 election...

Well with Trump there was no wars, Trump doesn't want wars he wants to focus on America, and he proved it in his 4 years, he worked hard for peace in the middle east, north korea and russia... He should have won the nobel peace... 

Do you think palestinians will be better under Kamala? Are you a Kamala voter?

Almost enough to get me to fire up a VPN. Almost. I care about the election. I don't care as much about the sanctity of a prediction market. Maybe these guys know something. Or, maybe they care far more about appearances than impact.

Almost enough to get me to fire up a VPN. Almost. I care about the election. I don't care as much about the sanctity of a prediction market. Maybe these guys know something. Or, maybe they care far more about appearances than impact. https://www.wsj.com/finance/betting-election-pro-trump-ad74aa71

Yes!!! That's the only thing that makes me happy

This is huge news. Is Trump victory priced in? 👀