Massive Overton Window shifting events create massive new surface areas for opportunity.

Will be a chaotic, weird and exhausting year.

Buckle up.

I’m not sure memecoins is the shift we want. It was supposed to be crypto reserves and institutional DeFi. Those things can last and be positive-sum.

because knowing is finding the limits | swabbie.eth

The shift is “everything that can be a token will be a token”. 

Memecoins are just the beginning. 

This will force regulatory overhaul in US which is the single biggest thing holding back crypto as an industry right now.

rugpulls don’t help regulatory reform.

BitConnect was not good for the industry. Luna was not good for the industry. Not every popular crypto program ends up positive for the industry.

how is $trump a rugpull? use specific examples please

writing about products & protocols on Farcaster | prev. Juicebox, Nouns, RAW DAO | casting about coffee, hi-fi, and other rabbit holes

no other reason for 80% lockup on a memecoin with no utility than to sell from the vast pool you FOMO convinced a bunch of other people to pour their money into and that you own most access shares to

this logic applies even with a lockup period. the only caveat would be if they add utility to it before substantial lockups expire

no reason to rug when you have an FDV of $60B...you essentially do anything in your power not to rug? but maybe idk what im talking about.

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They aren't just going to leave the money sitting there - the token does not represent some value-added process or means of exchange for work done.

They either add utility to it or it's just a giant pot of everyone's dollars and it's a game as to whom withdraws first while gambling that the pot could get bigger.

so because they will sell their allocation it’s a “rugpull”? following that logic, every VC-backed project of the last several years is also a rugpull.

There is definitely a big gray area with memecoins. Just using the Farcaster ecosystem as an example, Higher is very much in the memecoin category and took me a while to come around to it, but it was fairly distributed and seems to be a community of optimistic builders that want to help each other. Degen has a lot of memecoin characteristics but is definitely in the utility category, first with tipping and now powering a blockchain. QUIL is very much on the opposite side, spending very little effort on being a meme and focusing entirely on its utility as a network native coin.

But so far, memecoins like Trump fall well past this gray area, generating FOMO for its own sake while maintaining a vast amount of centralized control over the supply with the only apparent outcome as extraction of value.

I don’t think you can apply value investing frameworks to attention markets like memecoins, apples and oranges

and your use of the term “rugpull”, which means a specific thing, is way too broad imo

If you personally get people to put a bunch of money in a pot and then withdraw most of the funds for yourself they better be investing in some other value-added work you’re doing that you gave them shares in or it’s a rugpull, fast or slow.