a quick breakdown on the big run expectancy swing on a single pitch: 

situation - runners on 2nd and 3rd with 0 outs 
run expectancy - 1.98853 

what happens next - devers strikes out and wisely gets picked off 3rd 

new situation - runner on 2nd with 2 outs 
run expectancy - 0.33101 

if wisely doesnt get picked here, theres still a 1.40310 run expectancy with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out. giants still have a great chance to score and likely win the game.

run expectancy swings like this dont happen often and usually go overlooked within a game unless you watch it live. 

in a 0-0, the giants go from a high likelihood of taking the lead and wining (since they have the leagues best bullpen) to giving up a homer and losing the game 0-1.

What a disgrace.. Brett Wisely was picked off third base with one out

He was also picked off first base last night https://t.co/Noa8XtVuhu

Coach Yac 🗣

a quick breakdown on the big run expectancy swing on a single pitch: 

situation - runners on 2nd and 3rd with 0 outs 
run expectancy - 1.98853 

what happens next - devers strikes out and wisely gets picked off 3rd 

new situation - runner on 2nd with 2 outs 
run expectancy - 0.33101 

if wisely doesnt get picked here, theres still a 1.40310 run expectancy with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out. giants still have a great chance to score and likely win the game.

run expectancy swings like this dont happen often and usually go overlooked within a game unless you watch it live. 

in a 0-0, the giants go from a high likelihood of taking the lead and wining (since they have the leagues best bullpen) to giving up a homer and losing the game 0-1. 

https://x.com/coach_yac/status/1939075571339927626?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg

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Yeah…3’rd base coaches don’t need to do much in the big leagues but you really notice it when they do poorly. 

Agree, making the first out of an inning at 3rd base is inexcusable 🤦‍♂️

matt williams also making some really questionable calls on sends from third. 

this is also one of those situations where wisely doesn’t need to be so aggressive. 

on third with no outs, you’re not automatically running on a ball hit on the ground. 

can’t win a title making little mistakes like this.

Brutal loss, a team like the giants with a small margin of error can’t make mistakes like this…gotta get their fundamentals down or the season is over. 

A few years ago with Kapler they were horrific on defense but base running blunders like this aren’t gonna work