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kagami
@kagami
a quick breakdown on the big run expectancy swing on a single pitch: situation - runners on 2nd and 3rd with 0 outs run expectancy - 1.98853 what happens next - devers strikes out and wisely gets picked off 3rd new situation - runner on 2nd with 2 outs run expectancy - 0.33101 if wisely doesnt get picked here, theres still a 1.40310 run expectancy with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out. giants still have a great chance to score and likely win the game. run expectancy swings like this dont happen often and usually go overlooked within a game unless you watch it live. in a 0-0, the giants go from a high likelihood of taking the lead and wining (since they have the leagues best bullpen) to giving up a homer and losing the game 0-1. https://x.com/coach_yac/status/1939075571339927626?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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arob.base.eth š©
@arob1000
Brutal loss, a team like the giants with a small margin of error canāt make mistakes like thisā¦gotta get their fundamentals down or the season is over. A few years ago with Kapler they were horrific on defense but base running blunders like this arenāt gonna work
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kagami
@kagami
matt williams also making some really questionable calls on sends from third. this is also one of those situations where wisely doesnāt need to be so aggressive. on third with no outs, youāre not automatically running on a ball hit on the ground. canāt win a title making little mistakes like this.
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