Content pfp
Content
@
https://warpcast.com/~/channel/predictionmkts
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction

moreReese pfp
moreReese
@morereese
Why are there relatively few prediction markets on private companies’ future round raises/valuations?
4 replies
0 recast
7 reactions

James McComish pfp
James McComish
@jamco.eth
- way too many variables that are not public so hard to gauge, very insider trading prone - long term markets are less interesting. could take years to raise, and likely to fail before then so would be locking up money for nothing
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction

moreReese pfp
moreReese
@morereese
great callouts. even if there aren't markets around specific valuations, i'm still kind of surprised we don't see more like: "Will XYZ company publicly announce another raise in 2025?" on platforms like Manifold
1 reply
0 recast
0 reaction