@megaparlay | @onit prediction market protocol | backed by @safe | @variant VFF
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PdfLib.sol is a library for probability density functions in Solidity. I wrote up some of the process of building it here. And shout out to @prberg for both an amazing foundry template and math library π https://paragraph.xyz/@jamesmccomish/probability-density-function-library-in-solidity
"crypto is too confusing, most consumers won't know what to do" the internet, 2024:
We (finally) opened up the contracts repo for Onit. Many PMs work as order books but Onit is an AMM, and it implements a market mechanism that hadn't been tried before. The release here is a beta (not deployed yet and will change before then) for v0.0.4. Might work on getting tags for the previous 3 releases published too when I get a chance. Open to feedback before then so please have a look! You can build on the contracts directly, or if you want an easy way to integrate them into your app, we have an API and SDK. https://github.com/onit-labs/pm-contracts
Self nominating @onit for #farcasterrpgfspring2025 We've built a prediction market protocol that lets anyone deploy highly customisable prediction markets. - Onit markets have predicted things like when Pectra will go live, how many times dwr will cast in a day, and the amount of dry powder assets held by farcaster users - We're deployed on @base.base.eth and we're helping farcaster builders deploy fun prediction markets for anthing they're into! - Onit markets are used in apps like @livecaster where people share their /f1 predictions with others - Our API is used by teams like /thefalsenine to deploy their own soccer markets onit.fun/m/0x32f9148fd44791f6a8961faae1aea0d6c15fb78b