History

̶w̶a̶l̶k̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶t̶a̶l̶k̶

hike and mic

why not compare it to the british empire, the last hegemony, and the rate at which it deteriorated since ww2? 

i find the general argument reasonable but rome existed at a time when things happened orders of magnitude slower than they do today

I broke my back lifting moloch to heaven. ntik.me

What was the primary cause for the British Empire decline and how is that analogous to the US today?

I’m not taking sides here - my stance is that it could go either way. But I think this debate is better than the one you started with.

With that framing:

1. What would be an analogous catalyst to WW2?

2. How does China solve it's terminal demographic issue? It's real estate bubble / debt issue?

3. In the case of UK, there was another, better market for global investors to put their money in. What alternative exists today?

US outproduced everyone else during and after WW2. This swiftly put the US ahead and on top. 

People who argue that the US will fall under China will draw an obvious similarity here.