Data

Shower Thoughts

Pi-chi.eth (she/her) Artist /animeoutcasts
Hosting: /sakura /kyoto /momiji  /anime-manga /farcasterunion

https://portrait.so/pichi

my predictions (based on early data + my gut)
		
- 85% of qDAU will have Pro

- >50% of casts from Pro accounts will appear spammy, noisy, and perhaps unwanted to the median FCer that engages in earnest discussion 

(setting aside for now the perception of "broadcast-most" accounts, which are growing in number)

- Farcaster client will rely heavily on labelling to make the experience more pleasant

- with the deprecation of channels, this makes the spam label more unitary in its importance

- with the acceptance of a decent-sized payment, users' entitlement and desperation will increase, to be heard through the algo

Game's the same, just got more fierce

Farcaster

For people interested in Farcaster Pro analytics:

I have a decent chunk of Neynar scores it looks like there are about 5000 indexed accounts (accounts that recently generated data) that purchased Farcaster Pro.

Analyzing this sample of Pro users and Neynar Score distribution alone within that sample shows there are a lot of people who appear to be using AI generated casts or who churned and recently came back.

While it's hard to say these accounts are doing anything malicious, it does look like a lot of people that don't have connections on the network are paying $100 to likely boost their account, which is seen in the distribution of Neynar scores.

artlu: >50% of casts from Pro accounts ...
		
		the data, 14 hours later: about 5000 accounts ...

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Find me with my same PFP on GH

Now that the data is out, do you still stand by 85%? I think it’s even higher.

yes! agreed and I predict the ratio will inch higher with permissionless gifting

my initial sampling was weighted toward some of the most stubborn people on this social network (my personal "most liked" list over ~2 years lol)

as I extended the list, I found fewer people willing to stick out, or to miss out

I think the gifting will kick it up close to 100. I know lots of folks who are waiting for monthly because they don’t have the money at the moment.