predictionmkts
a channel to share and discuss prediction markets
@kazani
How someone manipulated weather in Paris to win a bet
An individual exploited Polymarket's Paris daily high temperature markets by briefly heating the sensor with a hair dryer to trigger long-shot payouts totaling ~$34k
The sensor's unguarded location allowed a quick temperature spike that registered as the daily max before normalizing, as shown in Polymarket charts with sharp late probability shifts for higher ranges like 22°C
https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/2047017251270734309
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@niftytime.eth
"Won on No"
On any given daily high weather market, only 1 temperature will resolve to Yes
But there are 10 or so other temperatures that will resolve to NO
And you can earn on every one of those NO predictions
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@niftytime.eth
more weather market receipts from yday
shooting for an average of $100 in returns per day. currently a bit above that over the last couple weeks
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@niftytime.eth
love the new era of yield farming that prediction markets unlocked tbh
no need to stake a stupid token, just gotta leverage a little edge
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@overtimemarkets
Quick reminder: Trade on the Speed Markets Farcaster mini app and we'll give you 1 $OVER for every dollar of volume you generate.
These are really straightforward UP/DOWN BTC and ETH prediction markets that resolve in 1-60 minutes.
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@overtimemarkets
We are running a volume-based giveaway where every $1 of Speed Markets trading volume you generate through our Farcaster mini apps (both the dedicated Speed Markets app and Overtime) earns you 1 $OVER in Free Bets.
The more you trade, the more $OVER you accumulate.
The campaign runs from March 20th until April 3rd, 2026.
Ready, Set, Start Trading 👇
https://www.overtimemarkets.xyz/speed-markets
Giveaway details and rules:
https://www.overtimemarkets.xyz/promotions/speed-markets-miniapp-giveaway
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@overtimemarkets
🎁 The $10 Speed Markets Airdrop 🎁
Ever tried 1-minute UP or DOWN BTC/ETH prediction markets? ⏱️📈📉
Well, our new mini app has got 'em! And everyone is welcome to try them for free.
If you want to receive our Speed Markets Airdrop:
1. Search for Speed Markets in mini apps
2. Add the mini app & enable notifications
That's it. We'll drop $5 into your account via notifications when you do!
Use this $5 to trade by selecting ETH or BTC; UP or DOWN; select Trade Duration (anything between 1 and 60 minutes), and that's it. 🚀
💸 Bonus: If you use the airdrop to place a trade, we'll drop ANOTHER $5 into your account! 💸
There's literally nothing to lose.
Here's a quick video to walk you through your first Speed Markets trade 🎥👇
Note: We will use the Neynar score to prioritize distributing airdrops to real users and prevent disingenuous attempts to secure it.
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@niftytime.eth
yday i took out a position on a weather market on mobile. I picked the winning temp BUT when I went to claim my reward today I was confused when I saw it hadn't closed. wtf
turns out I took a position on the next day's weather market smdh
reminder to self: always double check the truncated market titles on mobile
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@quotient
Quotient is resilient to disinformation https://x.com/quotienthq/status/2026832213837324620?s=46
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@kazani
How Building a Weather Polymarket Bot with OpenClaw and turn 100$ → 8000$ (Step-by-Step Guide)
https://x.com/LunarResearcher/status/2025131164348932533
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