How someone manipulated weather in Paris to win a bet An individual exploited Polymarket's Paris daily high temperature markets by briefly heating the sensor with a hair dryer to trigger long-shot payouts totaling ~$34k The sensor's unguarded location allowed a quick temperature spike that registered as the daily max before normalizing, as shown in Polymarket charts with sharp late probability shifts for higher ranges like 22°C https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/2047017251270734309

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Quick reminder: Trade on the Speed Markets Farcaster mini app and we'll give you 1 $OVER for every dollar of volume you generate. These are really straightforward UP/DOWN BTC and ETH prediction markets that resolve in 1-60 minutes.

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We are running a volume-based giveaway where every $1 of Speed Markets trading volume you generate through our Farcaster mini apps (both the dedicated Speed Markets app and Overtime) earns you 1 $OVER in Free Bets. The more you trade, the more $OVER you accumulate. The campaign runs from March 20th until April 3rd, 2026. Ready, Set, Start Trading 👇 https://www.overtimemarkets.xyz/speed-markets Giveaway details and rules: https://www.overtimemarkets.xyz/promotions/speed-markets-miniapp-giveaway

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🎁 The $10 Speed Markets Airdrop 🎁 Ever tried 1-minute UP or DOWN BTC/ETH prediction markets? ⏱️📈📉 Well, our new mini app has got 'em! And everyone is welcome to try them for free. If you want to receive our Speed Markets Airdrop: 1. Search for Speed Markets in mini apps 2. Add the mini app & enable notifications That's it. We'll drop $5 into your account via notifications when you do! Use this $5 to trade by selecting ETH or BTC; UP or DOWN; select Trade Duration (anything between 1 and 60 minutes), and that's it. 🚀 💸 Bonus: If you use the airdrop to place a trade, we'll drop ANOTHER $5 into your account! 💸 There's literally nothing to lose. Here's a quick video to walk you through your first Speed Markets trade 🎥👇 Note: We will use the Neynar score to prioritize distributing airdrops to real users and prevent disingenuous attempts to secure it.

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Capital controlled truth https://x.com/Euanker/status/2031328054300037602

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we need a prediction market to bet on this

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How Building a Weather Polymarket Bot with OpenClaw and turn 100$ → 8000$ (Step-by-Step Guide) https://x.com/LunarResearcher/status/2025131164348932533

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the top 5 contracts on Polygon are: 1. Polymarket (55%) 2. Polymarket (10%) 3. Polymarket MEV bot (5%) 4. Polymarket (4%) 5. Quickswap (1%) this is wild, app seazon

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People simply won't keep playing in markets where there is so much asymmetric information. Unless of course they are incentivised to do so. Short term great. Long term hmm. Call me a sceptic.

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tokens ≠ prediction markets i agree that permisionless PMs will be big, but a 'decentralized polymarket' will never work, bc it assumes people wants to bet on: > events with no liquidity > events with insider trading

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prediction markets. the best way ever to coordinate people.

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the tension between kalshi employees and virtue signalling 🤒🤒🤒

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"I believe prediction markets eventually lead to manufacturing reality itself rather than just forecasting it. This is admittedly speculative, but it's already happening on smaller scales." cool piece

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A Telegram bot that monitors Polymarket and sends real-time notifications when new prediction markets are created.

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there is not much difference between memecoins and prediction markets peeps there are predicting what others will buy just way less resolution certainty tho higher (uncapped) upside

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