Philosophy

If I predict rain tomorrow based on satellite and radar imagery showing a cold front forming, and it does rain, I’m right.

If I predict rain because I saw a black cat walk under a ladder, and it rains, am I right (but for the wrong reasons) or am I just wrong?

Can one ever be right for the wrong reasons?

Aviator, diver, Etherean, nexialist, PhD in aviation ∩ climate science | Host of /diving /ethfinance /eth-staker /geopolitics /science /singapore /thomas

You have three "objects":
Predictions, Reality, and a function Outcome(p, for p in Predictions) that maps Predictions to Reality.

So, what's your question?
If Outcome() is a good function? If outcome(p1) for a specific prediction p1 was right?

Dad, geek, conversation liquidity provider. vrypan.net (home), @l--o--l (fun). devcoin:$lemon3

Good3: outcome() gets a lot of attention when I discuss it with friends.
Good4: If I invest X amount based on this function, I will always make a profit.