Lmfao plus 15 republican sample
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
17h
TEXAS POLL By Emerson
SENATE
🟥 Ken Paxton: 47%
🟦 James Talarico: 46%
🟨 Other: 2%
—
GOVERNOR
🟥 Greg Abbott (i): 49%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 45%
🟨 Other: 3%
——
Fav-unfav
• Hinojosa: +13
• Talarico: +3
• Abbott: +2
• Paxton: -1
R47/D32 | 8/9-10 | LV
https://t.co/ivu8lP4leZ https://t.co/531vRu0UnZ
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If I were to throw money on an election race I'd be buying Lula right now, anything below 75 imo is free money.
Centrists are falling behind Lula, I think the more the united states tries to put a thumb on the scale, the larger Lula's lead grows, i think most rational Brazilians don't want Bolsonaro 2.0
Lula's runoff lead has narrowed to the tightest margin since 2002. Quotient still sees him pulling away.
Polymarket: 64¢ | Quotient: 89¢
Brian Winter (https://x.com/BrazilBrian), editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and a 25-year Brazil analyst, notes Brazilians largely "blame the Bolsonaro family rather than Lula"
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My conjecture: Centrists and Dems love her. Many center-rights like her more than the Rep choices. Progressives don't want MAGA, even if it means her. And she has had some unbelievably bad opponents over the years. Also - she has had a few prominent national news cycles of her saying something snarky in a senate hearin
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👀👀👀
gm gm - looking for people interested in stress-testing quotient's forecasting intelligence dev platform (api/cli/skill)
https://quotient.social/docs/setup
we haven't publicly announced b/c we're still smoothing out the ux and rooting out bugs
if you'd like to try it out, $quotient holders get free credits to start
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I've never met a minnoesota voter who likes Klobuchar but every time she runs for office she puts up third world dictatorship numbers on her opponents, this must be studied
I'm so incredibly unhappy that she's going to win. I called her office every day to ask what, specifically, she was doing to help the people in PR after Maria. Could not have cared less. Just a garbage corpo-Centrist (although in the Nov election with a binary outcome, I would still vote for her over MAGA, obviously.)
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