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proxima424

@proxima42

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33 Followers


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proxima424
@proxima42
omg what is that
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@proxima42
no one can block trading prediction markets, and we get the trading data to create news headline of the future. i hope you find this useful polynews.in
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so ?
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sad
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read the future polynews.in
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@proxima42
https://www.polynews.in/
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@proxima42
still unclear about the hosting solution, that's the blocker. want to make a mini-app for this website i made https://www.polynews.in/
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when i first read that polymarket provides aggregated wisdom, it sounded so cool and interesting to me. it was from an article by @vitalik.eth to make it "literally" true in a simple manner, i made a New York Times type newspaper which like converts the Polymarket's market data and outcomes to news headline of the future. do give a look www.polynews.in also can anyone send some frame starter right away, i need to make a frame for this asap
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in a recent ama, founder of Product Hunt said “blockchain can be its own distro channel” and it’s so true. what if the evm in every L1/L2 has a standard where each protocol needs to put some kind of “DescriptionProtocol.sol” type thing onchain in a centralised registry. if every node accepts this, we can easily index this contract registry and run some AI modules to get better discovery.
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how would one solve product/dapp discovery in crypto, the way Product Hunt solves this for web2?
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If anybody is interested in trying this out do let me know, I am launching this beta this coming week. Would love to hear your feedback
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5/n - Anyone can create a prediction market. - User puts question(string) onchain. - YES and NO tokens are available for trading. - Trading happens against bonding curve, onchain :) - Market settlement done by an AVS network of AI models. This is pnp exchange
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4/n We use intelligent LLM as a reasoning agent and task them to settle the markets. An LLM model that has access to real-time factual information from around the world. the timing can not be more better. Perplexity Sonar API has been found to correctly settle the test markets we have created. So with the third aspect of a market i.e. market settlement being solved, we finally get a complete permissionless flow.
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3/n Market creation -> onchain Market trading -> onchain Market Settlement ? here is another centralised vector in the markets run by Polymarket, Kalshi : they way they settle. these exchanges use Optimistic Settlement which basically means there's a guy in the end, fetching "relevant data" from "truth source" of that particular market, making a reasoning around it ( human bias? ) and pushing the answer onchain. this is so 1800s. we solve this problem by using Perplexity Sonar API.
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2/n most of the centralised dependencies in current prediction markets arise from the fact that all the market trades happen offchain via an orderbook model. so, the first step would be to bring trading outcome choices completely onchain. we do that by using a Pythagorean Bonding Curve, acting as a counterparty to all trades.
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i have been working on prediction markets for the past few months. ( launching beta this week ) prediction markets are a novel defi primitive but the following things in current exchange such as Polymarket, Kalshi kept me bugging : - you can not create a prediction market on your own - the markets gets settled by a cen. third party i think i have finally worked it out, here's the design of PNP Exchange, a truly permissionless exchange.
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euphoria
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are there prediction markets frames out there ?
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@proxima42
Just started integrating with @gandalf. Can't believe how easy it is to grab user data from Netflix! This is gonna be a huge boost for personalization in my new app. 🚀
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can you send an invite code karan :)
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