HuntTown

🎲 The Monty Hall Dilemma

🎯 The Setup
You're on a quiz show with 3 doors:
🚪 Door 1 
🚪 Door 2 
🚪 Door 3
One hides a car 🚗, the others have goats 🐐.

👣 How It Works
You pick a door (e.g., Door 1).
Monty opens another door showing a goat (e.g., Door 3).
He asks: "Would you like to switch?"

🤔 Common Misconception
“Now it’s 50:50, so switching doesn’t matter.”

📊 Probability
Car behind your pick: 1/3
Car behind one of the others: 2/3
Monty reveals a goat → the unopened door now has a 2/3 chance.

✅ Conclusion
Switching increases your chances.

💡 Takeaway
People are more sensitive to loss than to gain,
so they tend to stick with their initial choice out of fear of switching and being wrong.
But intuition often misleads us—
and the Monty Hall dilemma is a perfect example of that.
That’s why we must learn to doubt our instincts
and build a habit of trusting logic and probability instead.