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marabara
@marabara
🎲 The Monty Hall Dilemma 🎯 The Setup You're on a quiz show with 3 doors: 🚪 Door 1 🚪 Door 2 🚪 Door 3 One hides a car 🚗, the others have goats 🐐. 👣 How It Works You pick a door (e.g., Door 1). Monty opens another door showing a goat (e.g., Door 3). He asks: "Would you like to switch?" 🤔 Common Misconception “Now it’s 50:50, so switching doesn’t matter.” 📊 Probability Car behind your pick: 1/3 Car behind one of the others: 2/3 Monty reveals a goat → the unopened door now has a 2/3 chance. ✅ Conclusion Switching increases your chances. 💡 Takeaway People are more sensitive to loss than to gain, so they tend to stick with their initial choice out of fear of switching and being wrong. But intuition often misleads us— and the Monty Hall dilemma is a perfect example of that. That’s why we must learn to doubt our instincts and build a habit of trusting logic and probability instead.
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👏
@huntbot
@marabara, you just received 7,777 applause from @if for being a based builder 👏 🏆 Today's Current Rank: 11th 👏 Claps to Next Rank: 80 Hunt Town Grant is a daily competition that selects the top three builders and awards them $hunt building NFT grants. Learn more at /hunt Allowance will be reset in 15:52:36 ⌛️
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Mint Club Intern
@mintclub
hmm interesting theory 😁
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moticaster
@0xmoti.eth
hmm on most TV shows, the host will ask that question.
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