https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-ukraine-war-is-ultimately-about

This is historically and geopolitically accurate. Haven't read many essays by Americans who get it so well.

I think the Ukraine war is ultimately about the incompetence of our institutions. Drawing wild conclusions like it's about "Poland" or whatever happened 4 billion years ago is just all smoke and mirrors. What is factually true is that the unelected officials calling the shots do not have our best interest in mind.

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Directors, Chairmen and Heads of all the three letter agencies for instance. The agenda driven think tanks and profit guided incumbents. Nobody wants this war. Why do we have it then? Because of counter factual theories of Putin wanting Poland while we cannot proof it? Show me the incentives and I show you the outcome.

What institutions do you mean? Who are unelected officials who are calling the shots here?

Be specific.    
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Overall, I think the truth is about dominating Eastern Europe, and so his focus on Poland is odd

One flag was talking about Latvia, Poland, Estonia, and completely forgetting Lithuania

Another was taking Putins Latvia claim at face value and assuming his Poland claim was false

https://warpcast.com/lsn/0x3953f29c

Thanks for sharing your POV. What were his worst misunderstandings in your opinion?

I respect your perspective on this Mac and I agree Putins goal is sphere of dominance, which Noah explained well

But I didn’t like this piece and thought Noah exhibited many misunderstandings, but nonetheless argued the correct point
His interview with Sarah Paine is also good

I agree with this abusive boyfriend metaphor. And I think right now (as of February 2024) it is primarily about Ukraine but Poland def makes him angry as it shows CEE countries that you can do better without Russia

As a Russian who understands Putin's point of view, I can tell that we don't think about Poland that much, and neither is he.

The war in Ukraine is about Ukraine. Russia is like an abusive boyfriend who can't let his darling go.

Poland shares a lot of history with Ukraine and nobody knows how would the history turn out if Poland would honour the agreement between Pilsudski and Petlura.
When Poland abandoned Ukraine, Ukraine got hit first. 20 years later, Poland was wiped off the map.

Putin should feel insecure; he is failiing his country and his people.  I'll say America could have done better post cold-war to embrace Russia (like we embraced Europe post WWII), but it's now on him.  Putin is emptying his coffers and emptying his future by killing his youth.