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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
If I predict rain tomorrow based on satellite and radar imagery showing a cold front forming, and it does rain, I’m right. If I predict rain because I saw a black cat walk under a ladder, and it rains, am I right (but for the wrong reasons) or am I just wrong? Can one ever be right for the wrong reasons?
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Leo
@lsn
This is almost a Gettier problem The traditional criteria for knowledge is a Justified True Belief. Here, your belief is not justified, because cats do not relate causally with rain So you are just wrong But it gets more interesting…
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Leo
@lsn
A Gettier problem is when even your justification is kinda right, but it’s still uncomfortable you see smoke in the distance… ‘there must be a fire’ But actually all you saw were birds flying around the fire, which itself you didn’t see You only saw the birds bc of the fire, but you did not know this
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Leo
@lsn
What matters is perspective. I feel you need to be able to intuit a causal logic from Cat to Rain, from Smoke to Fire, for there to actually be knowledge Sure, you could be right, but knowledge is more important
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