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Interesting question, which led me to look for an accepted index of military innovation — of which there seems to be none. Plenty of academic papers in the recent years, though.
What I see is that the spend and pace of innovation have picked up lately, partly due to Ukraine and partly to keep up with both technological and market trends. The innovation happens in three broad areas: technological (drones, cyberweapons, nonlethal), organizational (PMCs, SpecOps), and strategic (C2/C4, targeted killings, counterinsurgency, space domination) — see book cited below for a study.
So it looks the like lessons learned from proxy conflicts (against Russia in Ukraine, against Iran in Yemen, etc) are still driving R&D in how WWII (non-nuclear) warfare is being rendered obsolete (and yet old methods like trenches are coming back!).
With the EU doubling down on military spending, it will be interesting to see what emerges from their own R&D.
https://press.umich.edu/Books/T/Twenty-First-Century-Military-Innovation 1 reply
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