Books

cracks the code on why megaprojects consistently fail while offering a deceptively simple fix: think slow, act fast. sounds like a fortune cookie until you hit the olympics case study: bazillions over budget every single time because each host city insists on reinventing the wheel with an entirely new team.

the core insight — that the planning phase is where you win or lose, not execution — feels obvious in hindsight but revolutionary in practice. everyone believes they’re immune to delays, overruns, and optimism bias. they’re not. you’re not. no one is. 

a must-read if you're trying to build something big and want to make sure the wheels don't come off after you start moving.

the planning fallacy is undefeated 

https://www.scribbr.com/fallacies/planning-fallacy/

especially relevant to our industry where people keep trying to achieve extremely complex long-term goals via "decentralized governance"

incentivizing things @ poidh.xyz - come chill /poidh + follow @poidhbot

yes this is for “clear end result” projects (@nouncoffee renovation) 

as the book points out, TRULY big things (sydney opera house / LA to SF train / nuclear energy) suffer from something much more serious

solid! but also make sure to add a multiplier for each new person involved in the process of making sure it gets done lol

the way i personally deal with this is by guessing how long a project will take, and then just doubling it lol

I do the same thing that Drew does. Add double and sometimes triple to the estimated time. I think one of the more difficult parts of this equation. Is that many of us are consistently bad at being honest with what we can actually deliver. So the more people you add in that say I can do xyz in such and such timeframe the more compounded the problems of actually hitting targets are. 

Ran into this just recently. One of my devs a month ago said... Oh yeah we can get this done in a day or two. That day or two turned into they just finished 2 days ago 🤣 

If you're a founder or someone that is running a project it's inevitable you will have many unexpected delays or curve balls thrown at you. Maybe this is why only a small percent of businesses succeed within the first 2 years.