An IBRIS opinion poll released earlier this week showed Poland's liberal, pro-EU presidential candidate Rafał Trzaskowski virtually tied with Karol Nawrocki, the right-wing Euroskeptic rival backed by the Trump administration. The numbers were 45.7% to 44.9%.

But Polymarket odds show Trzaskowski cruising to victory in Sunday's second-round election.

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Obviously a prediction of outcome isn't the same thing as a measurement of current opinion, but striking all the same.

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well we all so how "democratic" the Romanian elections were.
In fair elections that "maga favourte" would have won.

In Romanian presidental elections, the MAGA's favourite was exceedingly popular on Polymarket. There might be bias on there who is making bets on Polymarket.