Geopolitics

Conclusions that can be drawn from the Israel-Iran conflict and the broader global situation:
- Currently, international law only functions effectively in times of low tension. When crises escalate, countries tend to rely on power politics. Each state acts based on its own interpretation of national interest.
This will remain the case until the key destabilizing factors are eliminated.
- Russia is the main threat to the free world.
- Global instability will continue to rise until an effective system of international law is established.
However, as mentioned, achieving this will be difficult without first addressing the sources of destabilization.
- The global arms race is set to intensify, with more countries expanding their military capabilities.
- Once again, Russia has shown itself to be an unreliable partner. Alliances with Russia offer no genuine security guarantees.
- Iran’s air defense systems, including those supplied by Russia, proved to be ineffective.

Russia certainly has it’s fair Share in destabilizing countries, using Force to get what it wants - but it’s Not operating in a silo.

When You List what the US & Russia stand for, it‘s clearly one-sided that it doesn’t make sense to dive deeper 😅

In Germany, I know many that have a similar view aka judge all others from their relatively wealthy perspective, their moral highstand and start to paint everything in black and white instead of shades, Imperfect pieces with different good and bad things.. 

„xyz Regime is Bad and needs to be replaced, democracy abc is good“.

obv I also have opinions on values, politics, diff countries, Regimes, Leaders. But for Starters, wouldn’t it be good to let countries, their people w/ unique background & circumstances figure their stuff out themselves (as long as they don‘t inflict pain on others) and not unequivocally tell everyone that democracy is The Only Right System (whatever they need at the time - security, water, stability, business, gay rights)?

It’s not about Russia being “portrayed as evil” the reality is that it consistently acts as a destabilizing force, not just for the West but especially for its neighbors. The invasions of Georgia, Crimea, Donbas, the full-scale war in Ukraine… not to mention hybrid attacks and constant political interference.
And this whole “might makes right” mentality? That’s exactly what the Kremlin pushes, not the democracies.
So maybe we should ask: what does each side actually offer the world? The U.S. for all its flaws stands for open markets, innovation, and alliances. Russia? Threats, blackmail, and repression at home.
Yeah, the U.S. uses force sometimes but usually against the “bad guys.” And as long as there are bad guys, the world does need a kind of policeman. Maybe it’s not perfect, but nature abhors a vacuum..
And if that vacuum gets filled by authoritarian regimes, people will be looking back at U.S. leadership with tears in their eyes.

Kinda can‘t hear it anymore how Russia is portrayed as the evil and US the Savior of the free world.

The US has made it clear that they only care about Military strength, not international laws etc.; certainly been doing it with their military in the past and have weaponizee the Financial System more than anybody else to make (less obvious) moves but now (with Trump, latest actions, and rhetoric) we‘re officially back to whoever is stronger overall wins.

As the West is tired of actual fighting & the Financial System isn‘t as robust as many might think, this overconfidence may very well be their downfall.

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It’s essentially up to Tehran. Iran has never asked for direct military assistance.

I don’t think Russia will bring them any real benefit in military terms.

Russia has only provided old S300 systems back in 2016 when the system was already considered outdated. Iranians have been careful in fully aligning in Russia in fear of further sanctions but since the current Israeli episode Tehran will 100% gravitate towards both Beijing and Moscow.

The Georgians just overwhelmingly voted against NATO expansion. This was against the context of heavy interference and attempted color revolution by western intelligence.

As for Ukraine, I would ask the young men getting kidnapped off the street and forced to die how they feel about the war. Then their deaths can get broadcast on social media for the whole world to see 

This is truly the sickest and most evil war ever fought, and it's morons and cowards like you cheering it on that allowed it to happen. 

It's not Russia flooding our countries with 3rd world rapists and murderers. It's our own criminal governments.

Ask the Georgians and Ukrainians is this propaganda or not? Ask the Baltic countries why they are already sounding the alarm. Is the annexation of Crimea also propaganda, just like the full-scale war in Ukraine? You don’t know Russia or what is really going on.

This post is thinly veiled propaganda. Russia was literally the only major player not supplying weapons, killing people, or calling for regime change.

The only reason we didn't plunge the Middle East into chaos was because Trump's base was threatening to go off the reservation if we started a war in Iran.

I am so sick of hearing how evil Russia is when it's my government killing people and destabilizing the world. The average American actually understands this, and they are the quiet majority.

Keep running your idiotic muh Russia propaganda. It's becoming a multipolar world, and that is excellent for the working class Americans expected to fight and die for the globohomo empire.

I think the conclusions that can be drawn here are much narrower, as they apply to a case where a local regional power (Iran) has the explicit political goal of destroying another state (Israel). That is a nearly unique situation. I don't think any kind of international law could help.

On "Once again, Russia has shown itself to be an unreliable partner. Alliances with Russia offer no genuine security guarantees", another conclusion is the US is *also* an unreliable partner, resulting from both Europoooor mentality of letting the US police the world (no counter-weight), and (again and again) unilateral decisions to bomb or try to destabilise other countries for whatever made-up reasons that serves its interests.