IronWolfa

@ironwolfa

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kia pfp

Something that pro–US involvement pundits don't talk about: Iran's deterrence strategy relies on being a "hedgehog" for lack of a better term. Hedgehogs aren't predators. They can be taken down but not easily. And the predator will come out of the fight in massive pain. Roughly, IR's hierarchy of priorities: 1. Maintain the nuclear and missile programs (in that order) 2. Ensure regime survival 3. Inflict max pain – (1) isn’t existential yet. – Advocates for US involvement and the IR opposition think (2) is already under threat. (I disagree obviously.) – But if Iran does feel existentially threatened, it’ll activate (3). Max pain will look like: 1. Guerilla warfare from within the borders. Think Iraq’s Shia militias but x10. This'll prevent any boots on the ground to 'finish the job' and will reach out of the borders to inflict pain. 2. Closing the Strait of Hormuz. Massive oil shock. It'll last way than people currently expect. This'll be naval guerilla warfare in the drone age. Basically, Iraqi Shia insurgents meets Ukraine-style drones, but at sea. This is mainly unimaginable today the same way guerilla warfare in Iraq wasn't a concern during the invasion or even the first phase of that war. 3. Drones and ballistic hell across the region. Israel’s Iron Dome level of defense is only sustainable short-term — and that level of defense doesn’t exist anywhere else in the region. On the other hand, the IR stock pile isn't infinite and won't be replenishable if we get to this stage. Still doesn't mean this'll be easy. The max pain phase will drag far longer than the collapse of the regime if that ever comes. This is why it doesn't seem to me that "regime change" is a viability -- it'll just be *regime collapse* and max pain. Disclaimer: Putting this out because I don’t see it being discussed. It's not a statement of preference, just how I think the deterrence logic plays out from an IR perspective.

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YU GI OH ⊹ ࣪ ˖ pfp

YU GI OH ⊹ ࣪ ˖

How are people processing the escalating ICE raids and the creeping signs of WW3? it’s sickening to see families being broken. what’s worse is the dehumanization of migrants through militarized violence reflects a broader erosion of human rights and dignity. these raids are not isolated incidents; they are systemic tools of fear and control, disproportionately targeting communities who already live under precarity. Let’s be clear: no one is illegal on stolen land. This nation’s foundation rests on colonization and displacement. The same nation that is repeating the cycle, down to the marketing strategy overseas. it’s a terrifying time, but self defense is necessary

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stollenbread🎩🧀🔵⛓️ pfp

stollenbread🎩🧀🔵⛓️

Well, this was an awesome part of the day! https://www.chicagomag.com/chicago-magazine/june-july-2025/the-four-best-frozen-drinks/?fbclid=PAQ0xDSwK33IlleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABp_moCDL4GIdEdc4MIrlFu2rS9yZ-9j5DrQKjtmAQHKEga9IzBiNerFoySpZR_aem_9aMVySAiRs6qqRwXnG2Kuw

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Dan Romero pfp

Seems dubious Israelis didn’t get a green light

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Alexander C. Kaufman pfp

Alexander C. Kaufman

Some different perspective on whether Israel defied Trump:

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Burano, Italy 🇮🇹

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Varun Srinivasan

Just hit 285lb, only 30lb to go in 6 months.

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YU GI OH ⊹ ࣪ ˖ pfp

YU GI OH ⊹ ࣪ ˖

when i first joined fc i photoshopped polymarket hats onto people that is how i learned who vitalik is, and what polymarket was

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July pfp

Whenever someone says July Same thing Honestly I got tired of this and just started going by July

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there is no better day to announce bad news unfortunately for me and for /streme, I have no bad news to announce

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Upgrading the @streme swapping experience today from the Uniswap modal to @0xproject Already working. Now just need to get the interface cleaner.

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IronWolfa pfp

hope you’re having a stellar day!

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London, UK 🇬🇧

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Amsterdam, Netherlands 🇳🇱

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I'm launching something soon-ish The 10k Farcaster Pro Users will have priority access to the private alpha if you have a FC Pro badge you should be able to join this chat (will share more deets there) https://farcaster.xyz/~/group/QST-fznd0n1im3InwDz47Q

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pugson pfp

app submitted for review. hopping into bed at 6:19am. one of these days i’ll fix my sleep schedule

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kia pfp

so much of the 2000s sound was just Timbaland

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