So it seems that Iran’s initial wave of strikes on Israel used mostly either decoy missiles or older missiles so as to deplete Israeli missile defenses. A few hypersonic missiles were launched in those initial waves to create panic/fear over what could come if escalation continues. Unclear how many advanced missiles Iran has, but I would expect there’s a large number and that they are located across Iran’s vast territory, making them hard to take out even with direct US involvement in the Israeli attacks, thereby giving the Iranian government something close to a second-strike capability. Thus possibly further deterring an Israeli nuclear strike, especially given Israel’s relatively small strategic depth (ie it’s relatively small in terms of territory)

I think we are emerging from the post-Friday attack euphoria (euphoria in come circles in the Western press, that is) in which there’s a stark realization forming: 

Damage to Iran’s military infrastructure and command and control has been overstated 

Damage to Israeli civilian and military infrastructure has been understated 

Iran is a huge country with a missile arsenal that is existential for Israel

If the escalation doesn’t stop, direct US military involvement is a must for ensuring Israel’s viability (or there has to be a ceasefire with nuclear talks brokered by Russia/China, because no one trusts the US anymore)

If the escalation doesn’t stop and the US doesn’t intervene militarily or allow for a brokering of a ceasefire for nuclear talks, then Israel going nuclear in terms of strikes becomes more likely as Iranian missile attacks decimate critical infrastructure 

These comments are not pro or against either side. Just trying to be impartial, bearing in mind that I am sometimes retarded

oic, b/c Trump cancelled the orig agreement, yes that makes sense

Can’t imagine Iran not demanding Chinese and/or Russian involvement after what happened, but ya never know 🤷

Jesus, this is getting very dire.
I would love to see USA out of ceasefire talks.