oh no the Middle East is scary that’s never happened one time in history

Israel has nuclear weapons and Iran has hypersonic missiles — backed by sophisticated Russian-made radar and anti-aircraft tech — that can easily penetrate Israeli air defenses. If this escalates, it could be worse than anything we’ve seen in the region since the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s (a million people died in that war, btw). Not saying such an escalation is inevitable, but it’s highly possible. So the odds of it being different this time are high and, imo, not to be taken lightly.

dev / collector / chef / ex-Twitter

chemical engineer in a previous life

thing #5 at @clanker

I simply make bets on there being a future

if you were short assets before this nice job otherwise no sense worrying it’s like any other bad news story

I don’t know to calculate the odds here. But on the ladder of escalation dominance, Israel has attacked Iran multiple times in the last two years. Iran responded once in a limited way, and now this Israeli attack is more escalatory than the last. So that tells me the odds of an even stronger Iranian response are much higher. When you throw US military assets in the region being possibly attacked by Iran and especially its proxies in Iraq and Yemen, along with Gulf oil infrastructure potentially being attacked, then the odds of something region-wide seem higher than ever before

this time it’s different 

>nothing ever happens 

not to say it isn’t scary for folks who are out there but I’d take the under on things breaking out of the contained area; like if it was a sports book it would be insane odds of it being that bad (like 1-2 delta)

like 99% intercept rate last time but these videos always make me laugh

i like coffee, crypto, animals, plants, drones, 3D printing, midjourney, and stickers