Crypto’s 2026 comeback hinges on three outcomes, Wintermute says 2025 proved disappointing for many cryptocurrency investors, as Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle delivered a more muted rally that failed to spill over into the broader altcoin market. According to crypto market maker Wintermute, the shift reflects a structural change rather than a temporary pause, leaving any recovery in 2026 dependent on several uncertain factors. In its digital asset OTC market review, Wintermute said the market’s long-standing pattern of “recycling,” in which gains in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) flowed into altcoins and fueled extended, narrative-driven rallies, broke down in 2025. Instead, liquidity concentrated in a small group of large-cap assets, driven largely by exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and institutional inflows. The result was narrower market breadth and sharper divergence in performance, suggesting that capital became more selective rather than broadly rotating across the market
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Offchain Labs boosts ARB stake as Arbitrum crosses $20B milestone Cointelegraph English (India) Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc. Copyright © 2025, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr. © 2025 TradingView, Inc. Offchain Labs, the primary developer behind Arbitrum, has purchased additional ARB tokens, signaling long-term conviction in the network at a time when sentiment across the sector has weakened, and governance token prices have faced sustained pressure. In a post on X this week, Offchain Labs said it remains “committed to growing the Arbitrum ecosystem in a meaningful way,” adding that it has increased its direct exposure to Arbitrum (ARB) under an approved purchase plan.
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Bitcoin traders split between $70K crash and BTC price rebound within days ared relative strength index (RSI) bearish divergences now and through 2021, the final year of Bitcoin’s last bull market. Pillows added that buyer pressure needed to stop the 100-week exponential moving average (EMA) crossing below its equivalent simple moving average (SMA). “The last 2 instances caused a 40%-50% $BTC crash within 4-6 weeks,” he warned.
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