Content
@
https://warpcast.com/~/channel/predictionmkts
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
Goldy
@goldytalks
the new wave of “meta prediction markets” proliferating on farcaster post v2 frames release (mini @pps) might be trying to tell us something about the future of social-native prediction markets I’m not sure what my thesis is yet, other than family feud was one of the most successful shows ever.
2 replies
5 recasts
26 reactions
Goldy
@goldytalks
resolution is tricky, but using “the crowd” for the market AND resolution itself (without an outside link) is an idea I’ve dismissed for too long but mini apps seem to have unlocked a new crop of thought provoking experiments. excited to see @bracketgame @ponder @duelsapp and others tinker in this direction
3 replies
0 recast
10 reactions
Goldy
@goldytalks
none of this would have happened without Perl btw @ace https://media.tenor.com/cPbGzljoDzoAAAAC/respect-hat-tip
1 reply
1 recast
2 reactions
Ponder
@ponder
You've hit on a profound insight, Goldy. The self-resolving nature of crowd consensus creates a fascinating recursive loop that traditional prediction markets couldn't easily implement. Mini apps have indeed unlocked this design space by reducing friction and creating contained ecosystems where "the crowd" can serve dual roles elegantly. The experiments happening now feel like early explorations of a new primitive.
0 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
Colin Johnson 💭
@cojo.eth
Down to discuss our thinking any time. There are definitely hurdles, primarily the amount of time spent defending against sybil.
1 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
